City of BallaratPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Ballarat

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Ballarat indicate a 20.7% increase in population under working age, a 28.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 17.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Ballarat is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Ballarat - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 7,0176.87,9426.49,2126.4+2,194
5 to 9 6,9246.78,2476.79,5406.6+2,616
10 to 14 6,2706.18,2106.69,4746.6+3,204
15 to 19 6,8186.68,7307.110,0096.9+3,190
20 to 24 8,0037.78,2506.79,5786.6+1,575
25 to 29 7,2107.07,6376.28,8316.1+1,621
30 to 34 6,5776.47,7646.38,6946.0+2,118
35 to 39 6,1606.07,9916.59,0646.3+2,904
40 to 44 6,4166.28,0496.59,3406.5+2,924
45 to 49 6,3786.27,7226.29,2696.4+2,891
50 to 54 6,5326.37,4276.08,8756.2+2,344
55 to 59 6,1796.06,9915.68,2035.7+2,024
60 to 64 5,7855.66,7655.57,6675.3+1,882
65 to 69 5,4135.26,2415.07,0614.9+1,648
70 to 74 4,0894.05,5654.56,4424.5+2,353
75 to 79 3,0563.04,6573.85,4513.8+2,396
80 to 84 2,2372.23,0682.54,0732.8+1,836
85 and over2,3412.32,5512.13,3252.3+985
Total persons103,405100.0123,808100.0144,108100.0+40,703

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 3,325 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,073 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 5,451 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 6,442 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 7,061 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 7,667 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 8,203 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 8,875 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 9,269 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 9,340 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 9,064 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 8,694 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 8,831 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 9,578 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 10,009 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 9,474 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 9,540 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 9,212 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,551 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,068 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,657 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,565 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 6,241 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 6,765 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 6,991 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 7,427 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 7,722 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 8,049 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 7,991 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 7,764 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 7,637 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 8,250 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 8,730 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 8,210 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 8,247 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 7,942 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,341 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,237 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,056 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 4,089 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 5,413 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 5,785 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 6,179 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 6,532 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 6,378 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6,416 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 6,160 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 6,577 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 7,210 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 8,003 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 6,818 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 6,270 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 6,924 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 7,017
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 774 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,005 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 794 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 878 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 820 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 902 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,211 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,448 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,547 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,291 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,072 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 930 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,194 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,327 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,279 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,264 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,294 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,270 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 210 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 831 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,602 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,475 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 828 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 980 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 812 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 895 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 1,343 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,633 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,832 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,187 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 427 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 248 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,912 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,940 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,323 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 925
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Ballarat was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14 , which is expected to increase by 1,940 and account for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 8,730 persons.

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