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City of BallaratPopulation forecast

Ballarat West Growth Area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Ballarat West Growth Area indicate a 25.4% increase in females under working age, a 31.8% increase in females of retirement age, and a 23.4% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Ballarat is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ballarat West Growth Area - Total females202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49797.21,2507.41,8337.4+854
5 to 99617.11,2287.21,7807.2+819
10 to 149707.21,1726.91,7116.9+740
15 to 199156.71,1696.91,6756.7+760
20 to 249747.21,1847.01,7587.1+784
25 to 299957.31,2167.21,7967.2+801
30 to 341,0217.51,2537.41,7867.2+765
35 to 399697.11,2117.11,7016.9+732
40 to 448956.61,1216.61,5976.4+703
45 to 498476.21,0486.21,5286.2+681
50 to 547485.59175.41,3435.4+595
55 to 597205.38274.91,2174.9+497
60 to 646314.78064.81,1284.5+497
65 to 695774.37274.31,0574.3+479
70 to 745404.06573.91,0144.1+474
75 to 793502.65493.28233.3+473
80 to 842351.73141.95742.3+339
85 and over2301.72991.84962.0+266
Total persons13,555100.016,948100.024,814100.0+11,259
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Ballarat West Growth Area was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 7.5% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 271 and account for 7.4% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,253 females.

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