Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Sutherland Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Sutherland Shire is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 14,473 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Sutherland ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--14,66515,16215,30915,693
Deaths--8,1178,5709,2099,995
Natural increase/decrease--6,5486,5936,1005,698
Net migration--7,4852,3331,4182,765
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--441150300150

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 1,889 2035 forecast population change: 1,738 2034 forecast population change: 1,657 2033 forecast population change: 1,670 2032 forecast population change: 1,658 2031 forecast population change: 1,955 2030 forecast population change: 1,612 2029 forecast population change: 1,475 2028 forecast population change: 1,485 2027 forecast population change: 1,291 2026 forecast population change: 1,600 2025 forecast population change: 1,409 2024 forecast population change: 1,743 2023 forecast population change: 2,027 2022 forecast population change: 2,297 2021 forecast population change: 3,017 2020 forecast population change: 3,049 2019 forecast population change: 3,098 2018 forecast population change: 3,105 2017 forecast population change: 2,205
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 1,117 2035 Natural increase: 1,126 2034 Natural increase: 1,137 2033 Natural increase: 1,152 2032 Natural increase: 1,166 2031 Natural increase: 1,182 2030 Natural increase: 1,198 2029 Natural increase: 1,218 2028 Natural increase: 1,239 2027 Natural increase: 1,263 2026 Natural increase: 1,288 2025 Natural increase: 1,311 2024 Natural increase: 1,325 2023 Natural increase: 1,333 2022 Natural increase: 1,336 2021 Natural increase: 1,325 2020 Natural increase: 1,313 2019 Natural increase: 1,303 2018 Natural increase: 1,299 2017 Natural increase: 1,308 2036 Total deaths: 2,060 2035 Total deaths: 2,031 2034 Total deaths: 2,001 2033 Total deaths: 1,967 2032 Total deaths: 1,936 2031 Total deaths: 1,902 2030 Total deaths: 1,871 2029 Total deaths: 1,841 2028 Total deaths: 1,811 2027 Total deaths: 1,784 2026 Total deaths: 1,756 2025 Total deaths: 1,732 2024 Total deaths: 1,712 2023 Total deaths: 1,693 2022 Total deaths: 1,676 2021 Total deaths: 1,663 2020 Total deaths: 1,645 2019 Total deaths: 1,626 2018 Total deaths: 1,599 2017 Total deaths: 1,584 2036 Total births: 3,177 2035 Total births: 3,157 2034 Total births: 3,138 2033 Total births: 3,119 2032 Total births: 3,101 2031 Total births: 3,084 2030 Total births: 3,069 2029 Total births: 3,059 2028 Total births: 3,050 2027 Total births: 3,047 2026 Total births: 3,044 2025 Total births: 3,043 2024 Total births: 3,037 2023 Total births: 3,026 2022 Total births: 3,012 2021 Total births: 2,988 2020 Total births: 2,958 2019 Total births: 2,928 2018 Total births: 2,898 2017 Total births: 2,892 2036 Natural increase: 1,117 2035 Natural increase: 1,126 2034 Natural increase: 1,137 2033 Natural increase: 1,152 2032 Natural increase: 1,166 2031 Natural increase: 1,182 2030 Natural increase: 1,198 2029 Natural increase: 1,218 2028 Natural increase: 1,239 2027 Natural increase: 1,263 2026 Natural increase: 1,288 2025 Natural increase: 1,311 2024 Natural increase: 1,325 2023 Natural increase: 1,333 2022 Natural increase: 1,336 2021 Natural increase: 1,325 2020 Natural increase: 1,313 2019 Natural increase: 1,303 2018 Natural increase: 1,299 2017 Natural increase: 1,308 2036 Total deaths: 2,060 2035 Total deaths: 2,031 2034 Total deaths: 2,001 2033 Total deaths: 1,967 2032 Total deaths: 1,936 2031 Total deaths: 1,902 2030 Total deaths: 1,871 2029 Total deaths: 1,841 2028 Total deaths: 1,811 2027 Total deaths: 1,784 2026 Total deaths: 1,756 2025 Total deaths: 1,732 2024 Total deaths: 1,712 2023 Total deaths: 1,693 2022 Total deaths: 1,676 2021 Total deaths: 1,663 2020 Total deaths: 1,645 2019 Total deaths: 1,626 2018 Total deaths: 1,599 2017 Total deaths: 1,584 2036 Total births: 3,177 2035 Total births: 3,157 2034 Total births: 3,138 2033 Total births: 3,119 2032 Total births: 3,101 2031 Total births: 3,084 2030 Total births: 3,069 2029 Total births: 3,059 2028 Total births: 3,050 2027 Total births: 3,047 2026 Total births: 3,044 2025 Total births: 3,043 2024 Total births: 3,037 2023 Total births: 3,026 2022 Total births: 3,012 2021 Total births: 2,988 2020 Total births: 2,958 2019 Total births: 2,928 2018 Total births: 2,898 2017 Total births: 2,892
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 622 2035 Total net migration: 612 2034 Total net migration: 520 2033 Total net migration: 518 2032 Total net migration: 492 2031 Total net migration: 473 2030 Total net migration: 414 2029 Total net migration: 257 2028 Total net migration: 247 2027 Total net migration: 28 2026 Total net migration: 162 2025 Total net migration: 99 2024 Total net migration: 418 2023 Total net migration: 693 2022 Total net migration: 961 2021 Total net migration: 1,392 2020 Total net migration: 1,736 2019 Total net migration: 1,795 2018 Total net migration: 1,806 2017 Total net migration: 756 2036 Total out migration: 21,605 2035 Total out migration: 21,459 2034 Total out migration: 21,321 2033 Total out migration: 21,180 2032 Total out migration: 21,039 2031 Total out migration: 20,901 2030 Total out migration: 20,767 2029 Total out migration: 20,649 2028 Total out migration: 20,530 2027 Total out migration: 20,437 2026 Total out migration: 20,332 2025 Total out migration: 20,242 2024 Total out migration: 20,123 2023 Total out migration: 19,977 2022 Total out migration: 19,796 2021 Total out migration: 19,578 2020 Total out migration: 19,324 2019 Total out migration: 19,067 2018 Total out migration: 18,814 2017 Total out migration: 18,666 2036 Total in migration: 22,227 2035 Total in migration: 22,071 2034 Total in migration: 21,841 2033 Total in migration: 21,698 2032 Total in migration: 21,531 2031 Total in migration: 21,374 2030 Total in migration: 21,181 2029 Total in migration: 20,905 2028 Total in migration: 20,776 2027 Total in migration: 20,465 2026 Total in migration: 20,494 2025 Total in migration: 20,341 2024 Total in migration: 20,541 2023 Total in migration: 20,671 2022 Total in migration: 20,757 2021 Total in migration: 20,970 2020 Total in migration: 21,060 2019 Total in migration: 20,862 2018 Total in migration: 20,620 2017 Total in migration: 19,422 2036 Total net migration: 622 2035 Total net migration: 612 2034 Total net migration: 520 2033 Total net migration: 518 2032 Total net migration: 492 2031 Total net migration: 473 2030 Total net migration: 414 2029 Total net migration: 257 2028 Total net migration: 247 2027 Total net migration: 28 2026 Total net migration: 162 2025 Total net migration: 99 2024 Total net migration: 418 2023 Total net migration: 693 2022 Total net migration: 961 2021 Total net migration: 1,392 2020 Total net migration: 1,736 2019 Total net migration: 1,795 2018 Total net migration: 1,806 2017 Total net migration: 756 2036 Total out migration: 21,605 2035 Total out migration: 21,459 2034 Total out migration: 21,321 2033 Total out migration: 21,180 2032 Total out migration: 21,039 2031 Total out migration: 20,901 2030 Total out migration: 20,767 2029 Total out migration: 20,649 2028 Total out migration: 20,530 2027 Total out migration: 20,437 2026 Total out migration: 20,332 2025 Total out migration: 20,242 2024 Total out migration: 20,123 2023 Total out migration: 19,977 2022 Total out migration: 19,796 2021 Total out migration: 19,578 2020 Total out migration: 19,324 2019 Total out migration: 19,067 2018 Total out migration: 18,814 2017 Total out migration: 18,666 2036 Total in migration: 22,227 2035 Total in migration: 22,071 2034 Total in migration: 21,841 2033 Total in migration: 21,698 2032 Total in migration: 21,531 2031 Total in migration: 21,374 2030 Total in migration: 21,181 2029 Total in migration: 20,905 2028 Total in migration: 20,776 2027 Total in migration: 20,465 2026 Total in migration: 20,494 2025 Total in migration: 20,341 2024 Total in migration: 20,541 2023 Total in migration: 20,671 2022 Total in migration: 20,757 2021 Total in migration: 20,970 2020 Total in migration: 21,060 2019 Total in migration: 20,862 2018 Total in migration: 20,620 2017 Total in migration: 19,422
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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