Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Sutherland Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Sutherland Shire is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 14,379 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Sutherland ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births13,82714,70715,31115,48015,850
Deaths6,8798,1928,6749,31610,123
Natural increase/decrease6,9486,5156,6376,1635,728
Net migration-9187,4232,4551,5052,961
Change in persons in non-private dwellings365441150300150

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 1,918 2035 forecast population change: 1,769 2034 forecast population change: 1,722 2033 forecast population change: 1,766 2032 forecast population change: 1,663 2031 forecast population change: 1,947 2030 forecast population change: 1,603 2029 forecast population change: 1,537 2028 forecast population change: 1,523 2027 forecast population change: 1,358 2026 forecast population change: 1,614 2025 forecast population change: 1,403 2024 forecast population change: 1,783 2023 forecast population change: 2,140 2022 forecast population change: 2,300 2021 forecast population change: 2,949 2020 forecast population change: 2,988 2019 forecast population change: 3,095 2018 forecast population change: 2,979 2017 forecast population change: 2,368 2016 forecast population change: 2,150 2015 forecast population change: 1,763 2014 forecast population change: 829 2013 forecast population change: 600 2012 forecast population change: 1,053
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 1,121 2035 Natural increase: 1,131 2034 Natural increase: 1,143 2033 Natural increase: 1,158 2032 Natural increase: 1,175 2031 Natural increase: 1,193 2030 Natural increase: 1,211 2029 Natural increase: 1,232 2028 Natural increase: 1,252 2027 Natural increase: 1,276 2026 Natural increase: 1,299 2025 Natural increase: 1,321 2024 Natural increase: 1,335 2023 Natural increase: 1,340 2022 Natural increase: 1,342 2021 Natural increase: 1,333 2020 Natural increase: 1,319 2019 Natural increase: 1,302 2018 Natural increase: 1,283 2017 Natural increase: 1,277 2016 Natural increase: 1,283 2015 Natural increase: 1,287 2014 Natural increase: 1,410 2013 Natural increase: 1,511 2012 Natural increase: 1,457 2036 Total deaths: 2,087 2035 Total deaths: 2,057 2034 Total deaths: 2,027 2033 Total deaths: 1,993 2032 Total deaths: 1,959 2031 Total deaths: 1,925 2030 Total deaths: 1,893 2029 Total deaths: 1,861 2028 Total deaths: 1,831 2027 Total deaths: 1,805 2026 Total deaths: 1,778 2025 Total deaths: 1,755 2024 Total deaths: 1,733 2023 Total deaths: 1,713 2022 Total deaths: 1,695 2021 Total deaths: 1,678 2020 Total deaths: 1,658 2019 Total deaths: 1,637 2018 Total deaths: 1,618 2017 Total deaths: 1,600 2016 Total deaths: 1,581 2015 Total deaths: 1,568 2014 Total deaths: 1,190 2013 Total deaths: 1,188 2012 Total deaths: 1,351 2036 Total births: 3,208 2035 Total births: 3,188 2034 Total births: 3,170 2033 Total births: 3,151 2032 Total births: 3,134 2031 Total births: 3,118 2030 Total births: 3,104 2029 Total births: 3,093 2028 Total births: 3,084 2027 Total births: 3,080 2026 Total births: 3,077 2025 Total births: 3,076 2024 Total births: 3,068 2023 Total births: 3,054 2022 Total births: 3,037 2021 Total births: 3,011 2020 Total births: 2,977 2019 Total births: 2,940 2018 Total births: 2,902 2017 Total births: 2,877 2016 Total births: 2,865 2015 Total births: 2,856 2014 Total births: 2,600 2013 Total births: 2,698 2012 Total births: 2,808 2036 Natural increase: 1,121 2035 Natural increase: 1,131 2034 Natural increase: 1,143 2033 Natural increase: 1,158 2032 Natural increase: 1,175 2031 Natural increase: 1,193 2030 Natural increase: 1,211 2029 Natural increase: 1,232 2028 Natural increase: 1,252 2027 Natural increase: 1,276 2026 Natural increase: 1,299 2025 Natural increase: 1,321 2024 Natural increase: 1,335 2023 Natural increase: 1,340 2022 Natural increase: 1,342 2021 Natural increase: 1,333 2020 Natural increase: 1,319 2019 Natural increase: 1,302 2018 Natural increase: 1,283 2017 Natural increase: 1,277 2016 Natural increase: 1,283 2015 Natural increase: 1,287 2014 Natural increase: 1,410 2013 Natural increase: 1,511 2012 Natural increase: 1,457 2036 Total deaths: 2,087 2035 Total deaths: 2,057 2034 Total deaths: 2,027 2033 Total deaths: 1,993 2032 Total deaths: 1,959 2031 Total deaths: 1,925 2030 Total deaths: 1,893 2029 Total deaths: 1,861 2028 Total deaths: 1,831 2027 Total deaths: 1,805 2026 Total deaths: 1,778 2025 Total deaths: 1,755 2024 Total deaths: 1,733 2023 Total deaths: 1,713 2022 Total deaths: 1,695 2021 Total deaths: 1,678 2020 Total deaths: 1,658 2019 Total deaths: 1,637 2018 Total deaths: 1,618 2017 Total deaths: 1,600 2016 Total deaths: 1,581 2015 Total deaths: 1,568 2014 Total deaths: 1,190 2013 Total deaths: 1,188 2012 Total deaths: 1,351 2036 Total births: 3,208 2035 Total births: 3,188 2034 Total births: 3,170 2033 Total births: 3,151 2032 Total births: 3,134 2031 Total births: 3,118 2030 Total births: 3,104 2029 Total births: 3,093 2028 Total births: 3,084 2027 Total births: 3,080 2026 Total births: 3,077 2025 Total births: 3,076 2024 Total births: 3,068 2023 Total births: 3,054 2022 Total births: 3,037 2021 Total births: 3,011 2020 Total births: 2,977 2019 Total births: 2,940 2018 Total births: 2,902 2017 Total births: 2,877 2016 Total births: 2,865 2015 Total births: 2,856 2014 Total births: 2,600 2013 Total births: 2,698 2012 Total births: 2,808
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 647 2035 Total net migration: 638 2034 Total net migration: 579 2033 Total net migration: 608 2032 Total net migration: 489 2031 Total net migration: 454 2030 Total net migration: 392 2029 Total net migration: 305 2028 Total net migration: 271 2027 Total net migration: 83 2026 Total net migration: 165 2025 Total net migration: 82 2024 Total net migration: 449 2023 Total net migration: 800 2022 Total net migration: 958 2021 Total net migration: 1,316 2020 Total net migration: 1,668 2019 Total net migration: 1,793 2018 Total net migration: 1,696 2017 Total net migration: 950 2016 Total net migration: 567 2015 Total net migration: 461 2014 Total net migration: -609 2013 Total net migration: -911 2012 Total net migration: -426 2036 Total out migration: 21,700 2035 Total out migration: 21,555 2034 Total out migration: 21,412 2033 Total out migration: 21,262 2032 Total out migration: 21,126 2031 Total out migration: 20,991 2030 Total out migration: 20,860 2029 Total out migration: 20,741 2028 Total out migration: 20,621 2027 Total out migration: 20,519 2026 Total out migration: 20,413 2025 Total out migration: 20,318 2024 Total out migration: 20,188 2023 Total out migration: 20,023 2022 Total out migration: 19,844 2021 Total out migration: 19,631 2020 Total out migration: 19,382 2019 Total out migration: 19,122 2018 Total out migration: 18,871 2017 Total out migration: 18,710 2016 Total out migration: 18,598 2015 Total out migration: 18,475 2014 Total out migration: 18,514 2013 Total out migration: 18,566 2012 Total out migration: 18,644 2036 Total in migration: 22,347 2035 Total in migration: 22,192 2034 Total in migration: 21,991 2033 Total in migration: 21,870 2032 Total in migration: 21,615 2031 Total in migration: 21,445 2030 Total in migration: 21,252 2029 Total in migration: 21,046 2028 Total in migration: 20,892 2027 Total in migration: 20,602 2026 Total in migration: 20,579 2025 Total in migration: 20,400 2024 Total in migration: 20,637 2023 Total in migration: 20,823 2022 Total in migration: 20,802 2021 Total in migration: 20,948 2020 Total in migration: 21,050 2019 Total in migration: 20,915 2018 Total in migration: 20,567 2017 Total in migration: 19,660 2016 Total in migration: 19,165 2015 Total in migration: 18,936 2014 Total in migration: 17,905 2013 Total in migration: 17,655 2012 Total in migration: 18,218 2036 Total net migration: 647 2035 Total net migration: 638 2034 Total net migration: 579 2033 Total net migration: 608 2032 Total net migration: 489 2031 Total net migration: 454 2030 Total net migration: 392 2029 Total net migration: 305 2028 Total net migration: 271 2027 Total net migration: 83 2026 Total net migration: 165 2025 Total net migration: 82 2024 Total net migration: 449 2023 Total net migration: 800 2022 Total net migration: 958 2021 Total net migration: 1,316 2020 Total net migration: 1,668 2019 Total net migration: 1,793 2018 Total net migration: 1,696 2017 Total net migration: 950 2016 Total net migration: 567 2015 Total net migration: 461 2014 Total net migration: -609 2013 Total net migration: -911 2012 Total net migration: -426 2036 Total out migration: 21,700 2035 Total out migration: 21,555 2034 Total out migration: 21,412 2033 Total out migration: 21,262 2032 Total out migration: 21,126 2031 Total out migration: 20,991 2030 Total out migration: 20,860 2029 Total out migration: 20,741 2028 Total out migration: 20,621 2027 Total out migration: 20,519 2026 Total out migration: 20,413 2025 Total out migration: 20,318 2024 Total out migration: 20,188 2023 Total out migration: 20,023 2022 Total out migration: 19,844 2021 Total out migration: 19,631 2020 Total out migration: 19,382 2019 Total out migration: 19,122 2018 Total out migration: 18,871 2017 Total out migration: 18,710 2016 Total out migration: 18,598 2015 Total out migration: 18,475 2014 Total out migration: 18,514 2013 Total out migration: 18,566 2012 Total out migration: 18,644 2036 Total in migration: 22,347 2035 Total in migration: 22,192 2034 Total in migration: 21,991 2033 Total in migration: 21,870 2032 Total in migration: 21,615 2031 Total in migration: 21,445 2030 Total in migration: 21,252 2029 Total in migration: 21,046 2028 Total in migration: 20,892 2027 Total in migration: 20,602 2026 Total in migration: 20,579 2025 Total in migration: 20,400 2024 Total in migration: 20,637 2023 Total in migration: 20,823 2022 Total in migration: 20,802 2021 Total in migration: 20,948 2020 Total in migration: 21,050 2019 Total in migration: 20,915 2018 Total in migration: 20,567 2017 Total in migration: 19,660 2016 Total in migration: 19,165 2015 Total in migration: 18,936 2014 Total in migration: 17,905 2013 Total in migration: 17,655 2012 Total in migration: 18,218
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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