Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Sutherland Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Sutherland Shire will increase by an average of 809 dwellings per annum to 103,947 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Sutherland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
Sutherland ShireChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
Sutherland Shire+20,237+24.2
Alfords Point+53+5.5
Bangor+47+2.4
Barden Ridge - Lucas Heights+563+45.6
Bonnet Bay+22+2.8
Bundeena - Maianbar+84+7.0
Burraneer+117+9.7
Caringbah+3,228+62.5
Caringbah South+641+15.0
Como+93+6.9
Cronulla - Greenhills Beach+2,707+29.2
Dolans Bay - Port Hacking - Lilli Pilli+111+10.2
Engadine+1,428+23.1
Grays Point+43+4.3
Gymea+628+20.2
Gymea Bay+135+5.9
Heathcote - Waterfall+237+10.1
Illawong+202+8.6
Jannali+516+21.6
Kareela+27+2.2
Kirrawee+1,753+47.4
Kurnell+91+11.2
Loftus+78+5.4
Menai - Sandy Point+230+6.3
Miranda+3,068+47.4
Oyster Bay+80+4.3
Sutherland+2,543+53.1
Sylvania - Kangaroo Point+451+10.4
Sylvania Waters - Taren Point+55+2.8
Woolooware+856+51.8
Woronora+27+3.4
Woronora Heights+30+3.4
Yarrawarrah+32+3.4
Yowie Bay+61+5.9

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 103,947 2035 Total dwellings: 103,137 2034 Total dwellings: 102,320 2033 Total dwellings: 101,505 2032 Total dwellings: 100,679 2031 Total dwellings: 99,874 2030 Total dwellings: 99,074 2029 Total dwellings: 98,273 2028 Total dwellings: 97,501 2027 Total dwellings: 96,724 2026 Total dwellings: 96,010 2025 Total dwellings: 95,252 2024 Total dwellings: 94,529 2023 Total dwellings: 93,673 2022 Total dwellings: 92,712 2021 Total dwellings: 91,691 2020 Total dwellings: 90,594 2019 Total dwellings: 89,374 2018 Total dwellings: 88,121 2017 Total dwellings: 86,915 2016 Total dwellings: 86,070 2015 Total dwellings: 85,486 2014 Total dwellings: 84,941 2013 Total dwellings: 84,541 2012 Total dwellings: 84,200 2036 Total dwellings: 103,947 2035 Total dwellings: 103,137 2034 Total dwellings: 102,320 2033 Total dwellings: 101,505 2032 Total dwellings: 100,679 2031 Total dwellings: 99,874 2030 Total dwellings: 99,074 2029 Total dwellings: 98,273 2028 Total dwellings: 97,501 2027 Total dwellings: 96,724 2026 Total dwellings: 96,010 2025 Total dwellings: 95,252 2024 Total dwellings: 94,529 2023 Total dwellings: 93,673 2022 Total dwellings: 92,712 2021 Total dwellings: 91,691 2020 Total dwellings: 90,594 2019 Total dwellings: 89,374 2018 Total dwellings: 88,121 2017 Total dwellings: 86,915 2016 Total dwellings: 86,070 2015 Total dwellings: 85,486 2014 Total dwellings: 84,941 2013 Total dwellings: 84,541 2012 Total dwellings: 84,200 2036 Forecast development: 810 2035 Forecast development: 817 2034 Forecast development: 815 2033 Forecast development: 826 2032 Forecast development: 805 2031 Forecast development: 800 2030 Forecast development: 801 2029 Forecast development: 772 2028 Forecast development: 777 2027 Forecast development: 714 2026 Forecast development: 758 2025 Forecast development: 723 2024 Forecast development: 856 2023 Forecast development: 961 2022 Forecast development: 1,021 2021 Forecast development: 1,097 2020 Forecast development: 1,220 2019 Forecast development: 1,253 2018 Forecast development: 1,206 2017 Forecast development: 845 2016 Forecast development: 584 2015 Forecast development: 545 2014 Forecast development: 400 2013 Forecast development: 341 2012 Forecast development: 490
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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