Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Sutherland Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Sutherland Shire will increase by an average of 891 dwellings per annum to 103,302 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Sutherland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Sutherland ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Sutherland Shire+17,825+20.9
Alfords Point+44+4.5
Bangor+37+1.9
Barden Ridge - Lucas Heights+512+40.9
Bonnet Bay+9+1.1
Bundeena - Maianbar+47+4.0
Burraneer+100+8.2
Caringbah+3,010+56.1
Caringbah South+442+9.8
Como+66+4.8
Cronulla - Greenhills Beach+2,277+23.6
Dolans Bay - Port Hacking - Lilli Pilli+92+8.4
Engadine+1,313+21.2
Grays Point+34+3.3
Gymea+529+15.9
Gymea Bay+106+4.6
Heathcote - Waterfall+205+8.6
Illawong+100+4.1
Jannali+488+20.5
Kareela+30+2.5
Kirrawee+1,705+45.9
Kurnell+69+8.7
Loftus+53+3.6
Menai - Sandy Point+132+3.5
Miranda+2,918+44.5
Oyster Bay+57+3.0
Sutherland+2,219+43.2
Sylvania - Kangaroo Point+309+7.0
Sylvania Waters - Taren Point+45+2.4
Woolooware+803+49.7
Woronora+15+2.0
Woronora Heights+16+1.8
Yarrawarrah+16+1.7
Yowie Bay+27+2.6

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 103,302 2035 Total dwellings: 102,482 2034 Total dwellings: 101,661 2033 Total dwellings: 100,850 2032 Total dwellings: 100,031 2031 Total dwellings: 99,219 2030 Total dwellings: 98,410 2029 Total dwellings: 97,609 2028 Total dwellings: 96,837 2027 Total dwellings: 96,064 2026 Total dwellings: 95,353 2025 Total dwellings: 94,592 2024 Total dwellings: 93,866 2023 Total dwellings: 93,015 2022 Total dwellings: 92,052 2021 Total dwellings: 91,018 2020 Total dwellings: 89,904 2019 Total dwellings: 88,682 2018 Total dwellings: 87,432 2017 Total dwellings: 86,231 2036 Total dwellings: 103,302 2035 Total dwellings: 102,482 2034 Total dwellings: 101,661 2033 Total dwellings: 100,850 2032 Total dwellings: 100,031 2031 Total dwellings: 99,219 2030 Total dwellings: 98,410 2029 Total dwellings: 97,609 2028 Total dwellings: 96,837 2027 Total dwellings: 96,064 2026 Total dwellings: 95,353 2025 Total dwellings: 94,592 2024 Total dwellings: 93,866 2023 Total dwellings: 93,015 2022 Total dwellings: 92,052 2021 Total dwellings: 91,018 2020 Total dwellings: 89,904 2019 Total dwellings: 88,682 2018 Total dwellings: 87,432 2017 Total dwellings: 86,231 2036 Forecast development: 820 2035 Forecast development: 821 2034 Forecast development: 811 2033 Forecast development: 819 2032 Forecast development: 812 2031 Forecast development: 809 2030 Forecast development: 801 2029 Forecast development: 772 2028 Forecast development: 773 2027 Forecast development: 711 2026 Forecast development: 761 2025 Forecast development: 726 2024 Forecast development: 851 2023 Forecast development: 963 2022 Forecast development: 1,034 2021 Forecast development: 1,114 2020 Forecast development: 1,222 2019 Forecast development: 1,250 2018 Forecast development: 1,201 2017 Forecast development: 754
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
v17.12.12-1.0.0