Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Sutherland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Sutherland Shire indicate a 13.7% increase in population under working age, a 44.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sutherland Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 14,2886.515,2646.115,9296.0+1,641
5 to 9 13,7996.315,7066.316,3876.1+2,588
10 to 14 13,1406.015,9116.416,7976.3+3,657
15 to 19 13,9676.316,5046.617,2806.5+3,313
20 to 24 15,1316.916,4636.617,5756.6+2,444
25 to 29 14,2486.515,6656.316,9946.4+2,746
30 to 34 14,0766.415,4706.216,4376.2+2,361
35 to 39 15,9587.216,0176.416,7886.3+830
40 to 44 15,7127.116,0956.416,9066.3+1,194
45 to 49 15,4987.015,8416.316,6366.2+1,138
50 to 54 15,6907.115,8856.316,3176.1+627
55 to 59 13,8716.314,9026.015,3355.7+1,464
60 to 64 12,5385.713,7115.514,3165.4+1,778
65 to 69 9,8414.512,8215.113,1574.9+3,316
70 to 74 6,9373.111,0264.411,9394.5+5,002
75 to 79 5,7452.69,3423.710,6844.0+4,939
80 to 84 5,1932.46,8112.78,5343.2+3,341
85 and over4,6222.16,8362.79,0623.4+4,440
Total persons220,254100.0250,269100.0267,076100.0+46,822

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 9,062 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 8,534 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 10,684 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 11,939 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 13,157 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 14,316 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 15,335 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 16,317 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 16,636 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 16,906 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 16,788 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 16,437 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 16,994 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 17,575 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 17,280 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 16,797 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 16,387 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 15,929 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 6,836 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 6,811 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 9,342 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 11,026 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 12,821 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 13,711 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 14,902 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 15,885 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 15,841 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 16,095 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 16,017 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 15,470 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 15,665 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 16,463 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 16,504 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 15,911 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 15,706 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 15,264 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 4,622 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 5,193 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 5,745 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 6,937 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 9,841 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 12,538 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 13,871 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 15,690 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 15,498 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 15,712 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 15,958 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 14,076 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 14,248 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 15,131 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 13,967 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 13,140 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 13,799 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 14,288
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 2,226 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,724 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 914 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 336 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 604 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 433 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 433 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 795 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 811 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 771 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 968 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,329 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,112 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 776 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 887 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 681 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 665 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 2,214 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 1,618 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 3,597 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 4,089 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 2,980 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,173 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 1,031 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 195 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 343 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 383 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 59 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 1,394 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 1,417 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 1,332 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 2,537 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 2,771 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 1,907 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 976
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Sutherland Shire was ages 35 to 39 , which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 4,089 and account for 4.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 16,504 persons.

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