Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Sutherland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Sutherland Shire indicate a 7.8% increase in population under working age, a 25.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sutherland Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 14,6406.515,1896.115,8516.0+1,211
5 to 9 14,9136.615,6296.316,2486.1+1,335
10 to 14 13,9736.216,0836.416,6546.3+2,681
15 to 19 13,5526.016,4826.617,1016.4+3,549
20 to 24 13,9026.216,0986.417,4496.6+3,547
25 to 29 14,1026.215,4526.216,8856.3+2,783
30 to 34 14,4086.415,3146.116,3086.1+1,900
35 to 39 14,7336.515,8996.416,6776.3+1,944
40 to 44 16,3857.216,1676.516,8136.3+428
45 to 49 15,6306.915,8556.416,5886.2+958
50 to 54 15,1616.716,2716.516,3866.2+1,225
55 to 59 14,8186.615,0126.015,3595.8+541
60 to 64 12,7655.613,6795.514,5485.5+1,783
65 to 69 11,3005.012,8645.213,2105.0+1,910
70 to 74 8,8543.910,9044.411,8564.5+3,002
75 to 79 6,2632.89,1473.710,6844.0+4,421
80 to 84 4,7922.16,7522.78,4613.2+3,669
85 and over5,8502.66,7922.78,9423.4+3,092
Total persons226,041100.0249,590100.0266,020100.0+39,979

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 8,942 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 8,461 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 10,684 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 11,856 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 13,210 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 14,548 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 15,359 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 16,386 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 16,588 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 16,813 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 16,677 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 16,308 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 16,885 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 17,449 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 17,101 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 16,654 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 16,248 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 15,851 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 6,792 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 6,752 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 9,147 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 10,904 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 12,864 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 13,679 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 15,012 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 16,271 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 15,855 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 16,167 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 15,899 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 15,314 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 15,452 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 16,098 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 16,482 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 16,083 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 15,629 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 15,189 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 5,850 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 4,792 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 6,263 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 8,854 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 11,300 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 12,765 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 14,818 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 15,161 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 15,630 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 16,385 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 14,733 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 14,408 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 14,102 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 13,902 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 13,552 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 13,973 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 14,913 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 14,640
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 2,149 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,708 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,537 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 951 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 346 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 869 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 347 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 116 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 733 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 646 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 778 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 994 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,433 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,351 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 620 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 571 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 619 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 662 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 943 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,960 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 2,884 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 2,050 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,564 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 914 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1,110 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -218 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,166 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 906 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,350 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2,196 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 2,930 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 2,110 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 716 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 549
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Sutherland Shire was ages 40 to 44 , which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19 , which is expected to increase by 2,930 and account for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 16,482 persons.

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