Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Sutherland Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Sutherland Shire is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Sutherland Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Generally consistent migration profile across the 2011-2026 period
  • Large in-migration of older families (parents 30-44 years) with children (5-18 year olds)
  • Some in-migration of young adults 18-24 years) attracted to newer higher density housing
  • Out-migration of older adult and retiree age groups (55-74 year olds)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -163 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -270 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -469 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -567 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -682 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -678 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -178 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 203 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 335 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 983 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 453 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 498 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 926 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 804 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 741 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 324 0 2016 to 2021: 78 0 2016 to 2021: 2 0 2016 to 2021: -80 0 2016 to 2021: -460 0 2016 to 2021: -436 0 2016 to 2021: -594 0 2016 to 2021: -700 0 2016 to 2021: 61 0 2016 to 2021: 167 0 2016 to 2021: 606 0 2016 to 2021: 1,564 0 2016 to 2021: 1,076 0 2016 to 2021: 518 0 2016 to 2021: 1,186 0 2016 to 2021: 1,389 0 2016 to 2021: 1,102 0 2016 to 2021: 1,160 0 2016 to 2021: 785 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -208 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -178 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -61 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -340 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -563 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -619 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -899 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -452 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -331 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 547 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 247 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -609 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 13 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 1,041 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 856 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 534 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 110 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -163 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -270 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -469 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -567 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -682 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -678 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -178 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 203 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 335 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 983 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 453 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 498 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 926 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 804 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 741 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 324 0 2016 to 2021: 78 0 2016 to 2021: 2 0 2016 to 2021: -80 0 2016 to 2021: -460 0 2016 to 2021: -436 0 2016 to 2021: -594 0 2016 to 2021: -700 0 2016 to 2021: 61 0 2016 to 2021: 167 0 2016 to 2021: 606 0 2016 to 2021: 1,564 0 2016 to 2021: 1,076 0 2016 to 2021: 518 0 2016 to 2021: 1,186 0 2016 to 2021: 1,389 0 2016 to 2021: 1,102 0 2016 to 2021: 1,160 0 2016 to 2021: 785 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -208 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -178 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -61 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -340 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -563 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -619 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -899 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -452 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -331 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 547 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 247 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -609 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 13 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 1,041 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 856 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 534 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 110
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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