Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bass Coast Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Bass Coast Shire is forecast to grow from 26,000 in 2016 to 32,099 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.19 to 2.18 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Bass Coast Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Bass Coast ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population33,31136,08338,93942,54346,429
Change in population (5yrs)--2,7722,8563,6043,886
Average annual change--1.61%1.54%1.79%1.76%
Households14,88016,18017,55719,22420,976
Average household size2.192.192.182.182.18
Population in non private dwellings665665665695695
Dwellings26,00028,12830,18632,09934,038
Dwelling occupancy rate57.2357.5258.1659.8961.63

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.18 2035 Average household size: 2.18 2034 Average household size: 2.18 2033 Average household size: 2.18 2032 Average household size: 2.18 2031 Average household size: 2.18 2030 Average household size: 2.18 2029 Average household size: 2.18 2028 Average household size: 2.18 2027 Average household size: 2.18 2026 Average household size: 2.18 2025 Average household size: 2.18 2024 Average household size: 2.18 2023 Average household size: 2.18 2022 Average household size: 2.19 2021 Average household size: 2.19 2020 Average household size: 2.19 2019 Average household size: 2.19 2018 Average household size: 2.19 2017 Average household size: 2.20 2016 Average household size: 2.19 2036 Average household size: 2.18 2035 Average household size: 2.18 2034 Average household size: 2.18 2033 Average household size: 2.18 2032 Average household size: 2.18 2031 Average household size: 2.18 2030 Average household size: 2.18 2029 Average household size: 2.18 2028 Average household size: 2.18 2027 Average household size: 2.18 2026 Average household size: 2.18 2025 Average household size: 2.18 2024 Average household size: 2.18 2023 Average household size: 2.18 2022 Average household size: 2.19 2021 Average household size: 2.19 2020 Average household size: 2.19 2019 Average household size: 2.19 2018 Average household size: 2.19 2017 Average household size: 2.20 2036 Households: 20,979 2035 Households: 20,627 2034 Households: 20,276 2033 Households: 19,926 2032 Households: 19,576 2031 Households: 19,225 2030 Households: 18,878 2029 Households: 18,540 2028 Households: 18,205 2027 Households: 17,872 2026 Households: 17,558 2025 Households: 17,260 2024 Households: 16,992 2023 Households: 16,727 2022 Households: 16,456 2021 Households: 16,185 2020 Households: 15,920 2019 Households: 15,657 2018 Households: 15,392 2017 Households: 15,140 2016 Households: 14,883 2036 Total population: 46,429 2035 Total population: 45,653 2034 Total population: 44,866 2033 Total population: 44,089 2032 Total population: 43,312 2031 Total population: 42,543 2030 Total population: 41,797 2029 Total population: 41,062 2028 Total population: 40,341 2027 Total population: 39,629 2026 Total population: 38,939 2025 Total population: 38,317 2024 Total population: 37,761 2023 Total population: 37,213 2022 Total population: 36,655 2021 Total population: 36,083 2020 Total population: 35,534 2019 Total population: 34,992 2018 Total population: 34,447 2017 Total population: 33,944 2016 Total population: 33,311
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Bass Coast Shire was estimated to be 33,311 people. It is expected to increase by over 9,200 people to 42,543 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 2.48%. This is based on an increase of over 4,300 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.19 to 2.18 by 2031.

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