Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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Bass Coast Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Bass Coast Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,783 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Bass Coast ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,7391,8471,9922,1852,418
Deaths1,6521,7571,8712,0392,235
Natural increase/decrease8790121146183
Net migration2,2552,7132,9363,4323,600
Change in persons in non-private dwellings21000300

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2015.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 760 2035 forecast population change: 764 2034 forecast population change: 751 2033 forecast population change: 756 2032 forecast population change: 753 2031 forecast population change: 748 2030 forecast population change: 725 2029 forecast population change: 717 2028 forecast population change: 707 2027 forecast population change: 711 2026 forecast population change: 653 2025 forecast population change: 637 2024 forecast population change: 595 2023 forecast population change: 586 2022 forecast population change: 588 2021 forecast population change: 573 2020 forecast population change: 575 2019 forecast population change: 573 2018 forecast population change: 551 2017 forecast population change: 531 2016 forecast population change: 463 2015 forecast population change: 405 2014 forecast population change: 578 2013 forecast population change: 546 2012 forecast population change: 559
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 41 2035 Natural increase: 39 2034 Natural increase: 35 2033 Natural increase: 35 2032 Natural increase: 33 2031 Natural increase: 32 2030 Natural increase: 30 2029 Natural increase: 28 2028 Natural increase: 29 2027 Natural increase: 28 2026 Natural increase: 26 2025 Natural increase: 25 2024 Natural increase: 25 2023 Natural increase: 23 2022 Natural increase: 22 2021 Natural increase: 21 2020 Natural increase: 19 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 18 2017 Natural increase: 15 2016 Natural increase: 14 2015 Natural increase: 14 2014 Natural increase: 10 2013 Natural increase: 5 2012 Natural increase: 43 2036 Total births: 503 2035 Total births: 493 2034 Total births: 484 2033 Total births: 474 2032 Total births: 464 2031 Total births: 455 2030 Total births: 446 2029 Total births: 437 2028 Total births: 428 2027 Total births: 420 2026 Total births: 412 2025 Total births: 404 2024 Total births: 398 2023 Total births: 392 2022 Total births: 386 2021 Total births: 380 2020 Total births: 375 2019 Total births: 369 2018 Total births: 364 2017 Total births: 359 2016 Total births: 354 2015 Total births: 350 2014 Total births: 344 2013 Total births: 337 2012 Total births: 354 2036 Total deaths: 462 2035 Total deaths: 454 2034 Total deaths: 448 2033 Total deaths: 439 2032 Total deaths: 431 2031 Total deaths: 423 2030 Total deaths: 416 2029 Total deaths: 408 2028 Total deaths: 399 2027 Total deaths: 392 2026 Total deaths: 386 2025 Total deaths: 379 2024 Total deaths: 374 2023 Total deaths: 368 2022 Total deaths: 364 2021 Total deaths: 360 2020 Total deaths: 356 2019 Total deaths: 351 2018 Total deaths: 346 2017 Total deaths: 344 2016 Total deaths: 340 2015 Total deaths: 336 2014 Total deaths: 333 2013 Total deaths: 332 2012 Total deaths: 311 2036 Natural increase: 41 2035 Natural increase: 39 2034 Natural increase: 35 2033 Natural increase: 35 2032 Natural increase: 33 2031 Natural increase: 32 2030 Natural increase: 30 2029 Natural increase: 28 2028 Natural increase: 29 2027 Natural increase: 28 2026 Natural increase: 26 2025 Natural increase: 25 2024 Natural increase: 25 2023 Natural increase: 23 2022 Natural increase: 22 2021 Natural increase: 21 2020 Natural increase: 19 2019 Natural increase: 18 2018 Natural increase: 18 2017 Natural increase: 15 2016 Natural increase: 14 2015 Natural increase: 14 2014 Natural increase: 10 2013 Natural increase: 5 2012 Natural increase: 43 2036 Total births: 503 2035 Total births: 493 2034 Total births: 484 2033 Total births: 474 2032 Total births: 464 2031 Total births: 455 2030 Total births: 446 2029 Total births: 437 2028 Total births: 428 2027 Total births: 420 2026 Total births: 412 2025 Total births: 404 2024 Total births: 398 2023 Total births: 392 2022 Total births: 386 2021 Total births: 380 2020 Total births: 375 2019 Total births: 369 2018 Total births: 364 2017 Total births: 359 2016 Total births: 354 2015 Total births: 350 2014 Total births: 344 2013 Total births: 337 2012 Total births: 354 2036 Total deaths: 462 2035 Total deaths: 454 2034 Total deaths: 448 2033 Total deaths: 439 2032 Total deaths: 431 2031 Total deaths: 423 2030 Total deaths: 416 2029 Total deaths: 408 2028 Total deaths: 399 2027 Total deaths: 392 2026 Total deaths: 386 2025 Total deaths: 379 2024 Total deaths: 374 2023 Total deaths: 368 2022 Total deaths: 364 2021 Total deaths: 360 2020 Total deaths: 356 2019 Total deaths: 351 2018 Total deaths: 346 2017 Total deaths: 344 2016 Total deaths: 340 2015 Total deaths: 336 2014 Total deaths: 333 2013 Total deaths: 332 2012 Total deaths: 311
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 719 2035 Total net migration: 725 2034 Total net migration: 716 2033 Total net migration: 721 2032 Total net migration: 720 2031 Total net migration: 716 2030 Total net migration: 695 2029 Total net migration: 689 2028 Total net migration: 678 2027 Total net migration: 654 2026 Total net migration: 627 2025 Total net migration: 612 2024 Total net migration: 570 2023 Total net migration: 562 2022 Total net migration: 566 2021 Total net migration: 552 2020 Total net migration: 556 2019 Total net migration: 555 2018 Total net migration: 534 2017 Total net migration: 517 2016 Total net migration: 449 2015 Total net migration: 361 2014 Total net migration: 478 2013 Total net migration: 451 2012 Total net migration: 516 2036 Total out migration: 3,371 2035 Total out migration: 3,313 2034 Total out migration: 3,255 2033 Total out migration: 3,197 2032 Total out migration: 3,139 2031 Total out migration: 3,080 2030 Total out migration: 3,024 2029 Total out migration: 2,969 2028 Total out migration: 2,914 2027 Total out migration: 2,861 2026 Total out migration: 2,812 2025 Total out migration: 2,765 2024 Total out migration: 2,722 2023 Total out migration: 2,680 2022 Total out migration: 2,637 2021 Total out migration: 2,597 2020 Total out migration: 2,556 2019 Total out migration: 2,516 2018 Total out migration: 2,476 2017 Total out migration: 2,438 2016 Total out migration: 2,405 2015 Total out migration: 2,382 2014 Total out migration: 2,347 2013 Total out migration: 2,319 2012 Total out migration: 2,310 2036 Total in migration: 4,089 2035 Total in migration: 4,037 2034 Total in migration: 3,971 2033 Total in migration: 3,918 2032 Total in migration: 3,859 2031 Total in migration: 3,797 2030 Total in migration: 3,719 2029 Total in migration: 3,658 2028 Total in migration: 3,592 2027 Total in migration: 3,514 2026 Total in migration: 3,439 2025 Total in migration: 3,376 2024 Total in migration: 3,292 2023 Total in migration: 3,242 2022 Total in migration: 3,203 2021 Total in migration: 3,150 2020 Total in migration: 3,112 2019 Total in migration: 3,071 2018 Total in migration: 3,010 2017 Total in migration: 2,955 2016 Total in migration: 2,854 2015 Total in migration: 2,742 2014 Total in migration: 2,825 2013 Total in migration: 2,770 2012 Total in migration: 2,826 2036 Total net migration: 719 2035 Total net migration: 725 2034 Total net migration: 716 2033 Total net migration: 721 2032 Total net migration: 720 2031 Total net migration: 716 2030 Total net migration: 695 2029 Total net migration: 689 2028 Total net migration: 678 2027 Total net migration: 654 2026 Total net migration: 627 2025 Total net migration: 612 2024 Total net migration: 570 2023 Total net migration: 562 2022 Total net migration: 566 2021 Total net migration: 552 2020 Total net migration: 556 2019 Total net migration: 555 2018 Total net migration: 534 2017 Total net migration: 517 2016 Total net migration: 449 2015 Total net migration: 361 2014 Total net migration: 478 2013 Total net migration: 451 2012 Total net migration: 516 2036 Total out migration: 3,371 2035 Total out migration: 3,313 2034 Total out migration: 3,255 2033 Total out migration: 3,197 2032 Total out migration: 3,139 2031 Total out migration: 3,080 2030 Total out migration: 3,024 2029 Total out migration: 2,969 2028 Total out migration: 2,914 2027 Total out migration: 2,861 2026 Total out migration: 2,812 2025 Total out migration: 2,765 2024 Total out migration: 2,722 2023 Total out migration: 2,680 2022 Total out migration: 2,637 2021 Total out migration: 2,597 2020 Total out migration: 2,556 2019 Total out migration: 2,516 2018 Total out migration: 2,476 2017 Total out migration: 2,438 2016 Total out migration: 2,405 2015 Total out migration: 2,382 2014 Total out migration: 2,347 2013 Total out migration: 2,319 2012 Total out migration: 2,310 2036 Total in migration: 4,089 2035 Total in migration: 4,037 2034 Total in migration: 3,971 2033 Total in migration: 3,918 2032 Total in migration: 3,859 2031 Total in migration: 3,797 2030 Total in migration: 3,719 2029 Total in migration: 3,658 2028 Total in migration: 3,592 2027 Total in migration: 3,514 2026 Total in migration: 3,439 2025 Total in migration: 3,376 2024 Total in migration: 3,292 2023 Total in migration: 3,242 2022 Total in migration: 3,203 2021 Total in migration: 3,150 2020 Total in migration: 3,112 2019 Total in migration: 3,071 2018 Total in migration: 3,010 2017 Total in migration: 2,955 2016 Total in migration: 2,854 2015 Total in migration: 2,742 2014 Total in migration: 2,825 2013 Total in migration: 2,770 2012 Total in migration: 2,826
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
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