Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bass Coast Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Bass Coast Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,886 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Bass Coast ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,8351,9662,1492,382
Deaths--1,8591,9682,1692,390
Natural increase/decrease---24-2-21-8
Net migration--2,7952,8583,5953,894
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00300

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 777 2035 forecast population change: 787 2034 forecast population change: 777 2033 forecast population change: 776 2032 forecast population change: 769 2031 forecast population change: 746 2030 forecast population change: 735 2029 forecast population change: 720 2028 forecast population change: 712 2027 forecast population change: 691 2026 forecast population change: 622 2025 forecast population change: 556 2024 forecast population change: 548 2023 forecast population change: 558 2022 forecast population change: 572 2021 forecast population change: 549 2020 forecast population change: 543 2019 forecast population change: 544 2018 forecast population change: 503 2017 forecast population change: 633
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 2 2035 Natural increase: -1 2034 Natural increase: -3 2033 Natural increase: -2 2032 Natural increase: -4 2031 Natural increase: -4 2030 Natural increase: -5 2029 Natural increase: -5 2028 Natural increase: -4 2027 Natural increase: -3 2026 Natural increase: -3 2025 Natural increase: -1 2024 Natural increase: 0 2023 Natural increase: 1 2022 Natural increase: 1 2021 Natural increase: 2 2020 Natural increase: -1 2019 Natural increase: -5 2018 Natural increase: -3 2017 Natural increase: -16 2036 Total deaths: 494 2035 Total deaths: 487 2034 Total deaths: 479 2033 Total deaths: 469 2032 Total deaths: 461 2031 Total deaths: 452 2030 Total deaths: 443 2029 Total deaths: 434 2028 Total deaths: 424 2027 Total deaths: 415 2026 Total deaths: 408 2025 Total deaths: 400 2024 Total deaths: 393 2023 Total deaths: 387 2022 Total deaths: 380 2021 Total deaths: 375 2020 Total deaths: 373 2019 Total deaths: 373 2018 Total deaths: 367 2017 Total deaths: 372 2036 Total births: 496 2035 Total births: 486 2034 Total births: 476 2033 Total births: 467 2032 Total births: 457 2031 Total births: 448 2030 Total births: 439 2029 Total births: 430 2028 Total births: 420 2027 Total births: 412 2026 Total births: 405 2025 Total births: 399 2024 Total births: 393 2023 Total births: 388 2022 Total births: 382 2021 Total births: 377 2020 Total births: 372 2019 Total births: 367 2018 Total births: 364 2017 Total births: 356 2036 Natural increase: 2 2035 Natural increase: -1 2034 Natural increase: -3 2033 Natural increase: -2 2032 Natural increase: -4 2031 Natural increase: -4 2030 Natural increase: -5 2029 Natural increase: -5 2028 Natural increase: -4 2027 Natural increase: -3 2026 Natural increase: -3 2025 Natural increase: -1 2024 Natural increase: 0 2023 Natural increase: 1 2022 Natural increase: 1 2021 Natural increase: 2 2020 Natural increase: -1 2019 Natural increase: -5 2018 Natural increase: -3 2017 Natural increase: -16 2036 Total deaths: 494 2035 Total deaths: 487 2034 Total deaths: 479 2033 Total deaths: 469 2032 Total deaths: 461 2031 Total deaths: 452 2030 Total deaths: 443 2029 Total deaths: 434 2028 Total deaths: 424 2027 Total deaths: 415 2026 Total deaths: 408 2025 Total deaths: 400 2024 Total deaths: 393 2023 Total deaths: 387 2022 Total deaths: 380 2021 Total deaths: 375 2020 Total deaths: 373 2019 Total deaths: 373 2018 Total deaths: 367 2017 Total deaths: 372 2036 Total births: 496 2035 Total births: 486 2034 Total births: 476 2033 Total births: 467 2032 Total births: 457 2031 Total births: 448 2030 Total births: 439 2029 Total births: 430 2028 Total births: 420 2027 Total births: 412 2026 Total births: 405 2025 Total births: 399 2024 Total births: 393 2023 Total births: 388 2022 Total births: 382 2021 Total births: 377 2020 Total births: 372 2019 Total births: 367 2018 Total births: 364 2017 Total births: 356
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 774 2035 Total net migration: 788 2034 Total net migration: 780 2033 Total net migration: 779 2032 Total net migration: 773 2031 Total net migration: 750 2030 Total net migration: 740 2029 Total net migration: 725 2028 Total net migration: 716 2027 Total net migration: 663 2026 Total net migration: 625 2025 Total net migration: 557 2024 Total net migration: 548 2023 Total net migration: 557 2022 Total net migration: 571 2021 Total net migration: 547 2020 Total net migration: 543 2019 Total net migration: 550 2018 Total net migration: 507 2017 Total net migration: 649 2036 Total out migration: 3,375 2035 Total out migration: 3,315 2034 Total out migration: 3,254 2033 Total out migration: 3,193 2032 Total out migration: 3,134 2031 Total out migration: 3,074 2030 Total out migration: 3,015 2029 Total out migration: 2,959 2028 Total out migration: 2,903 2027 Total out migration: 2,849 2026 Total out migration: 2,801 2025 Total out migration: 2,759 2024 Total out migration: 2,719 2023 Total out migration: 2,676 2022 Total out migration: 2,632 2021 Total out migration: 2,587 2020 Total out migration: 2,543 2019 Total out migration: 2,501 2018 Total out migration: 2,459 2017 Total out migration: 2,404 2036 Total in migration: 4,150 2035 Total in migration: 4,102 2034 Total in migration: 4,034 2033 Total in migration: 3,972 2032 Total in migration: 3,907 2031 Total in migration: 3,825 2030 Total in migration: 3,756 2029 Total in migration: 3,684 2028 Total in migration: 3,619 2027 Total in migration: 3,513 2026 Total in migration: 3,426 2025 Total in migration: 3,316 2024 Total in migration: 3,267 2023 Total in migration: 3,233 2022 Total in migration: 3,203 2021 Total in migration: 3,134 2020 Total in migration: 3,087 2019 Total in migration: 3,051 2018 Total in migration: 2,966 2017 Total in migration: 3,052 2036 Total net migration: 774 2035 Total net migration: 788 2034 Total net migration: 780 2033 Total net migration: 779 2032 Total net migration: 773 2031 Total net migration: 750 2030 Total net migration: 740 2029 Total net migration: 725 2028 Total net migration: 716 2027 Total net migration: 663 2026 Total net migration: 625 2025 Total net migration: 557 2024 Total net migration: 548 2023 Total net migration: 557 2022 Total net migration: 571 2021 Total net migration: 547 2020 Total net migration: 543 2019 Total net migration: 550 2018 Total net migration: 507 2017 Total net migration: 649 2036 Total out migration: 3,375 2035 Total out migration: 3,315 2034 Total out migration: 3,254 2033 Total out migration: 3,193 2032 Total out migration: 3,134 2031 Total out migration: 3,074 2030 Total out migration: 3,015 2029 Total out migration: 2,959 2028 Total out migration: 2,903 2027 Total out migration: 2,849 2026 Total out migration: 2,801 2025 Total out migration: 2,759 2024 Total out migration: 2,719 2023 Total out migration: 2,676 2022 Total out migration: 2,632 2021 Total out migration: 2,587 2020 Total out migration: 2,543 2019 Total out migration: 2,501 2018 Total out migration: 2,459 2017 Total out migration: 2,404 2036 Total in migration: 4,150 2035 Total in migration: 4,102 2034 Total in migration: 4,034 2033 Total in migration: 3,972 2032 Total in migration: 3,907 2031 Total in migration: 3,825 2030 Total in migration: 3,756 2029 Total in migration: 3,684 2028 Total in migration: 3,619 2027 Total in migration: 3,513 2026 Total in migration: 3,426 2025 Total in migration: 3,316 2024 Total in migration: 3,267 2023 Total in migration: 3,233 2022 Total in migration: 3,203 2021 Total in migration: 3,134 2020 Total in migration: 3,087 2019 Total in migration: 3,051 2018 Total in migration: 2,966 2017 Total in migration: 3,052
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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