Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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Bass Coast Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bass Coast Shire indicate a 31.6% increase in population under working age, a 46.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 19.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bass Coast Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bass Coast Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,7875.92,2045.72,6655.8+878
5 to 9 1,6615.52,3066.02,7556.0+1,095
10 to 14 1,6355.42,1785.62,5965.6+961
15 to 19 1,5735.21,8184.72,1584.7+585
20 to 24 1,3154.31,5374.01,8684.1+553
25 to 29 1,4864.91,7314.52,0754.5+589
30 to 34 1,4934.92,0065.22,3525.1+860
35 to 39 1,7915.92,2675.92,6905.8+899
40 to 44 1,9166.32,3476.12,8016.1+885
45 to 49 1,8766.22,2415.82,7195.9+844
50 to 54 2,0416.82,3216.02,7676.0+726
55 to 59 2,1737.22,5306.52,9556.4+783
60 to 64 2,4288.02,8537.43,3297.2+901
65 to 69 2,2947.62,9707.73,4347.5+1,139
70 to 74 1,6445.42,6026.73,0316.6+1,388
75 to 79 1,2704.22,0705.42,4575.3+1,187
80 to 84 1,0123.31,4713.81,8364.0+824
85 and over8392.81,1953.11,5483.4+709
Total persons30,233100.038,646100.046,038100.0+15,805

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,548 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,836 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,457 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,031 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,434 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 3,329 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,955 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,767 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,719 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,801 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,690 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,352 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,075 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,868 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,158 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,596 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,755 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,665 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,195 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,471 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,070 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,602 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,970 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,853 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,530 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,321 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,241 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,347 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,267 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,006 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,731 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,537 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,818 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,178 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,306 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,204 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 839 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,012 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,270 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,644 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,294 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 2,428 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 2,173 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 2,041 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 1,876 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 1,916 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 1,791 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,493 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,486 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 1,315 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 1,573 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 1,635 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 1,661 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 1,787
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 353 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 365 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 388 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 430 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 464 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 475 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 426 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 447 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 478 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 455 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 424 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 346 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 344 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 331 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 340 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 418 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 449 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 460 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 356 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 459 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 799 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 958 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 675 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 425 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 357 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 280 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 366 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 431 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 475 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 513 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 222 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 543 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 646 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 418
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Bass Coast Shire was ages 60 to 64 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 958 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 2,970 persons.

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