Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Bass Coast Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Bass Coast Shire is 60-64 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Bass Coast Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Stable migration profile expected across the 2011-2026 period
  • Shows evidence of a dual housing market, consisting of retirees/mature couples (55-69 years) and families with children aged 0-9 years
  • Minor loss of elderly persons (70 years and over)
  • Like most of regional Australia, Bass Coast Shire loses young adults (18-24 years) to Melbourne and other parts of Australia for employment, education and lifestyle purposes.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 2 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -155 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -96 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 169 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 528 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 468 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 296 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 159 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 159 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 418 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 431 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 329 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 116 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -282 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -35 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 380 0 2016 to 2021: 1 0 2016 to 2021: -68 0 2016 to 2021: -103 0 2016 to 2021: -96 0 2016 to 2021: 154 0 2016 to 2021: 479 0 2016 to 2021: 418 0 2016 to 2021: 282 0 2016 to 2021: 123 0 2016 to 2021: 172 0 2016 to 2021: 371 0 2016 to 2021: 379 0 2016 to 2021: 280 0 2016 to 2021: 83 0 2016 to 2021: -238 0 2016 to 2021: -3 0 2016 to 2021: 130 0 2016 to 2021: 350 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -13 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -78 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -81 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -69 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 101 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 437 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 358 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 255 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 131 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 98 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 352 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 341 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 228 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 59 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -271 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 11 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 112 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 283 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 2 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -155 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -96 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 169 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 528 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 468 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 296 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 159 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 159 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 418 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 431 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 329 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 116 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -282 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -35 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 380 0 2016 to 2021: 1 0 2016 to 2021: -68 0 2016 to 2021: -103 0 2016 to 2021: -96 0 2016 to 2021: 154 0 2016 to 2021: 479 0 2016 to 2021: 418 0 2016 to 2021: 282 0 2016 to 2021: 123 0 2016 to 2021: 172 0 2016 to 2021: 371 0 2016 to 2021: 379 0 2016 to 2021: 280 0 2016 to 2021: 83 0 2016 to 2021: -238 0 2016 to 2021: -3 0 2016 to 2021: 130 0 2016 to 2021: 350 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -13 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -78 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -81 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -69 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 101 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 437 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 358 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 255 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 131 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 98 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 352 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 341 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 228 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 59 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -271 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 11 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 112 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 283
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
v17.08.15-1.0.0