Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bass Coast Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Bass Coast Shire will increase by an average of 402 dwellings per annum to 34,037 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Bass Coast Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Bass Coast ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Bass Coast Shire+8,038+30.9
Cowes - Ventnor & District+1,566+22.4
Inverloch - Pound Creek+1,468+33.9
North Wonthaggi+1,069+84.6
Phillip Island Balance+469+10.7
Rural Balance+479+33.9
San Remo+615+66.1
Waterline (Westernport Townships)+957+34.5
Wonthaggi - South Dudley - Cape Paterson+1,415+35.9

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 34,037 2035 Total dwellings: 33,648 2034 Total dwellings: 33,259 2033 Total dwellings: 32,871 2032 Total dwellings: 32,481 2031 Total dwellings: 32,098 2030 Total dwellings: 31,710 2029 Total dwellings: 31,334 2028 Total dwellings: 30,959 2027 Total dwellings: 30,579 2026 Total dwellings: 30,185 2025 Total dwellings: 29,785 2024 Total dwellings: 29,378 2023 Total dwellings: 28,972 2022 Total dwellings: 28,548 2021 Total dwellings: 28,127 2020 Total dwellings: 27,701 2019 Total dwellings: 27,278 2018 Total dwellings: 26,851 2017 Total dwellings: 26,437 2036 Total dwellings: 34,037 2035 Total dwellings: 33,648 2034 Total dwellings: 33,259 2033 Total dwellings: 32,871 2032 Total dwellings: 32,481 2031 Total dwellings: 32,098 2030 Total dwellings: 31,710 2029 Total dwellings: 31,334 2028 Total dwellings: 30,959 2027 Total dwellings: 30,579 2026 Total dwellings: 30,185 2025 Total dwellings: 29,785 2024 Total dwellings: 29,378 2023 Total dwellings: 28,972 2022 Total dwellings: 28,548 2021 Total dwellings: 28,127 2020 Total dwellings: 27,701 2019 Total dwellings: 27,278 2018 Total dwellings: 26,851 2017 Total dwellings: 26,437 2036 Forecast development: 389 2035 Forecast development: 389 2034 Forecast development: 388 2033 Forecast development: 390 2032 Forecast development: 383 2031 Forecast development: 388 2030 Forecast development: 376 2029 Forecast development: 375 2028 Forecast development: 380 2027 Forecast development: 394 2026 Forecast development: 400 2025 Forecast development: 407 2024 Forecast development: 406 2023 Forecast development: 424 2022 Forecast development: 421 2021 Forecast development: 426 2020 Forecast development: 423 2019 Forecast development: 427 2018 Forecast development: 414 2017 Forecast development: 438
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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