City of YarraPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Yarra

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Yarra is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 13,421 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of YarraForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--6,5867,1957,7888,4609,158
Deaths--1,8022,1142,4832,9233,356
Natural increase/decrease--4,7845,0815,3065,5375,803
Net migration--7,5247,2547,8026,9457,068
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--201214294250100

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 2,737 2040 forecast population change: 2,549 2039 forecast population change: 2,558 2038 forecast population change: 2,557 2037 forecast population change: 2,591 2036 forecast population change: 2,585 2035 forecast population change: 2,529 2034 forecast population change: 2,536 2033 forecast population change: 2,499 2032 forecast population change: 2,602 2031 forecast population change: 2,763 2030 forecast population change: 2,639 2029 forecast population change: 2,889 2028 forecast population change: 2,534 2027 forecast population change: 2,597 2026 forecast population change: 2,381 2025 forecast population change: 2,201 2024 forecast population change: 2,443 2023 forecast population change: 2,785 2022 forecast population change: 2,755 2021 forecast population change: 2,155 2020 forecast population change: 3,416 2019 forecast population change: 3,229 2018 forecast population change: 1,376 2017 forecast population change: 2,348
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Total deaths: 701 2040 Total deaths: 686 2039 Total deaths: 670 2038 Total deaths: 658 2037 Total deaths: 641 2036 Total deaths: 622 2035 Total deaths: 605 2034 Total deaths: 583 2033 Total deaths: 565 2032 Total deaths: 548 2031 Total deaths: 530 2030 Total deaths: 512 2029 Total deaths: 496 2028 Total deaths: 480 2027 Total deaths: 465 2026 Total deaths: 451 2025 Total deaths: 438 2024 Total deaths: 423 2023 Total deaths: 408 2022 Total deaths: 393 2021 Total deaths: 383 2020 Total deaths: 371 2019 Total deaths: 357 2018 Total deaths: 349 2017 Total deaths: 342 2041 Natural increase: 1,187 2040 Natural increase: 1,175 2039 Natural increase: 1,162 2038 Natural increase: 1,145 2037 Natural increase: 1,133 2036 Natural increase: 1,126 2035 Natural increase: 1,115 2034 Natural increase: 1,108 2033 Natural increase: 1,099 2032 Natural increase: 1,090 2031 Natural increase: 1,079 2030 Natural increase: 1,071 2029 Natural increase: 1,061 2028 Natural increase: 1,053 2027 Natural increase: 1,041 2026 Natural increase: 1,033 2025 Natural increase: 1,026 2024 Natural increase: 1,019 2023 Natural increase: 1,006 2022 Natural increase: 997 2021 Natural increase: 990 2020 Natural increase: 965 2019 Natural increase: 948 2018 Natural increase: 949 2017 Natural increase: 932 2041 Total births: 1,888 2040 Total births: 1,861 2039 Total births: 1,832 2038 Total births: 1,803 2037 Total births: 1,774 2036 Total births: 1,748 2035 Total births: 1,719 2034 Total births: 1,691 2033 Total births: 1,664 2032 Total births: 1,637 2031 Total births: 1,609 2030 Total births: 1,583 2029 Total births: 1,557 2028 Total births: 1,533 2027 Total births: 1,506 2026 Total births: 1,484 2025 Total births: 1,464 2024 Total births: 1,442 2023 Total births: 1,414 2022 Total births: 1,390 2021 Total births: 1,372 2020 Total births: 1,336 2019 Total births: 1,306 2018 Total births: 1,298 2017 Total births: 1,273 2041 Total deaths: 701 2040 Total deaths: 686 2039 Total deaths: 670 2038 Total deaths: 658 2037 Total deaths: 641 2036 Total deaths: 622 2035 Total deaths: 605 2034 Total deaths: 583 2033 Total deaths: 565 2032 Total deaths: 548 2031 Total deaths: 530 2030 Total deaths: 512 2029 Total deaths: 496 2028 Total deaths: 480 2027 Total deaths: 465 2026 Total deaths: 451 2025 Total deaths: 438 2024 Total deaths: 423 2023 Total deaths: 408 2022 Total deaths: 393 2021 Total deaths: 383 2020 Total deaths: 371 2019 Total deaths: 357 2018 Total deaths: 349 2017 Total deaths: 342 2041 Natural increase: 1,187 2040 Natural increase: 1,175 2039 Natural increase: 1,162 2038 Natural increase: 1,145 2037 Natural increase: 1,133 2036 Natural increase: 1,126 2035 Natural increase: 1,115 2034 Natural increase: 1,108 2033 Natural increase: 1,099 2032 Natural increase: 1,090 2031 Natural increase: 1,079 2030 Natural increase: 1,071 2029 Natural increase: 1,061 2028 Natural increase: 1,053 2027 Natural increase: 1,041 2026 Natural increase: 1,033 2025 Natural increase: 1,026 2024 Natural increase: 1,019 2023 Natural increase: 1,006 2022 Natural increase: 997 2021 Natural increase: 990 2020 Natural increase: 965 2019 Natural increase: 948 2018 Natural increase: 949 2017 Natural increase: 932 2041 Total births: 1,888 2040 Total births: 1,861 2039 Total births: 1,832 2038 Total births: 1,803 2037 Total births: 1,774 2036 Total births: 1,748 2035 Total births: 1,719 2034 Total births: 1,691 2033 Total births: 1,664 2032 Total births: 1,637 2031 Total births: 1,609 2030 Total births: 1,583 2029 Total births: 1,557 2028 Total births: 1,533 2027 Total births: 1,506 2026 Total births: 1,484 2025 Total births: 1,464 2024 Total births: 1,442 2023 Total births: 1,414 2022 Total births: 1,390 2021 Total births: 1,372 2020 Total births: 1,336 2019 Total births: 1,306 2018 Total births: 1,298 2017 Total births: 1,273
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 1,545 2040 Total net migration: 1,370 2039 Total net migration: 1,391 2038 Total net migration: 1,408 2037 Total net migration: 1,354 2036 Total net migration: 1,306 2035 Total net migration: 1,410 2034 Total net migration: 1,424 2033 Total net migration: 1,396 2032 Total net migration: 1,408 2031 Total net migration: 1,530 2030 Total net migration: 1,563 2029 Total net migration: 1,680 2028 Total net migration: 1,477 2027 Total net migration: 1,552 2026 Total net migration: 1,275 2025 Total net migration: 1,172 2024 Total net migration: 1,421 2023 Total net migration: 1,776 2022 Total net migration: 1,611 2021 Total net migration: 1,162 2020 Total net migration: 2,374 2019 Total net migration: 2,151 2018 Total net migration: 423 2017 Total net migration: 1,414 2041 Total out migration: 29,975 2040 Total out migration: 29,419 2039 Total out migration: 28,865 2038 Total out migration: 28,317 2037 Total out migration: 27,798 2036 Total out migration: 27,310 2035 Total out migration: 26,816 2034 Total out migration: 26,347 2033 Total out migration: 25,893 2032 Total out migration: 25,418 2031 Total out migration: 24,887 2030 Total out migration: 24,445 2029 Total out migration: 23,994 2028 Total out migration: 23,607 2027 Total out migration: 23,142 2026 Total out migration: 22,754 2025 Total out migration: 22,415 2024 Total out migration: 22,035 2023 Total out migration: 21,544 2022 Total out migration: 21,078 2021 Total out migration: 20,704 2020 Total out migration: 20,038 2019 Total out migration: 19,499 2018 Total out migration: 19,250 2017 Total out migration: 19,296 2041 Total in migration: 31,520 2040 Total in migration: 30,789 2039 Total in migration: 30,256 2038 Total in migration: 29,725 2037 Total in migration: 29,152 2036 Total in migration: 28,616 2035 Total in migration: 28,226 2034 Total in migration: 27,771 2033 Total in migration: 27,289 2032 Total in migration: 26,826 2031 Total in migration: 26,417 2030 Total in migration: 26,008 2029 Total in migration: 25,674 2028 Total in migration: 25,084 2027 Total in migration: 24,694 2026 Total in migration: 24,028 2025 Total in migration: 23,587 2024 Total in migration: 23,456 2023 Total in migration: 23,320 2022 Total in migration: 22,689 2021 Total in migration: 21,867 2020 Total in migration: 22,412 2019 Total in migration: 21,650 2018 Total in migration: 19,673 2017 Total in migration: 20,710 2041 Total net migration: 1,545 2040 Total net migration: 1,370 2039 Total net migration: 1,391 2038 Total net migration: 1,408 2037 Total net migration: 1,354 2036 Total net migration: 1,306 2035 Total net migration: 1,410 2034 Total net migration: 1,424 2033 Total net migration: 1,396 2032 Total net migration: 1,408 2031 Total net migration: 1,530 2030 Total net migration: 1,563 2029 Total net migration: 1,680 2028 Total net migration: 1,477 2027 Total net migration: 1,552 2026 Total net migration: 1,275 2025 Total net migration: 1,172 2024 Total net migration: 1,421 2023 Total net migration: 1,776 2022 Total net migration: 1,611 2021 Total net migration: 1,162 2020 Total net migration: 2,374 2019 Total net migration: 2,151 2018 Total net migration: 423 2017 Total net migration: 1,414 2041 Total out migration: 29,975 2040 Total out migration: 29,419 2039 Total out migration: 28,865 2038 Total out migration: 28,317 2037 Total out migration: 27,798 2036 Total out migration: 27,310 2035 Total out migration: 26,816 2034 Total out migration: 26,347 2033 Total out migration: 25,893 2032 Total out migration: 25,418 2031 Total out migration: 24,887 2030 Total out migration: 24,445 2029 Total out migration: 23,994 2028 Total out migration: 23,607 2027 Total out migration: 23,142 2026 Total out migration: 22,754 2025 Total out migration: 22,415 2024 Total out migration: 22,035 2023 Total out migration: 21,544 2022 Total out migration: 21,078 2021 Total out migration: 20,704 2020 Total out migration: 20,038 2019 Total out migration: 19,499 2018 Total out migration: 19,250 2017 Total out migration: 19,296 2041 Total in migration: 31,520 2040 Total in migration: 30,789 2039 Total in migration: 30,256 2038 Total in migration: 29,725 2037 Total in migration: 29,152 2036 Total in migration: 28,616 2035 Total in migration: 28,226 2034 Total in migration: 27,771 2033 Total in migration: 27,289 2032 Total in migration: 26,826 2031 Total in migration: 26,417 2030 Total in migration: 26,008 2029 Total in migration: 25,674 2028 Total in migration: 25,084 2027 Total in migration: 24,694 2026 Total in migration: 24,028 2025 Total in migration: 23,587 2024 Total in migration: 23,456 2023 Total in migration: 23,320 2022 Total in migration: 22,689 2021 Total in migration: 21,867 2020 Total in migration: 22,412 2019 Total in migration: 21,650 2018 Total in migration: 19,673 2017 Total in migration: 20,710
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2018.
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