City of YarraPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Yarra

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Yarra indicate a 31.2% increase in population under working age, a 53.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 22.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Yarra - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 4,4644.85,7904.97,3724.7+2,908
5 to 9 3,3903.64,3943.75,5383.5+2,148
10 to 14 2,6672.93,6163.14,6052.9+1,938
15 to 19 2,9233.14,6123.95,9793.8+3,056
20 to 24 7,9738.510,6169.013,7818.7+5,808
25 to 29 15,53016.617,03814.422,27914.1+6,749
30 to 34 13,12314.115,16612.819,91712.6+6,794
35 to 39 8,4709.110,7329.113,9058.8+5,435
40 to 44 6,3096.87,8496.610,2596.5+3,950
45 to 49 5,5606.06,6785.68,7645.6+3,204
50 to 54 4,8565.26,2025.28,1305.2+3,274
55 to 59 4,5044.85,7754.97,5234.8+3,019
60 to 64 3,8504.15,0334.26,7244.3+2,874
65 to 69 3,3983.64,3713.75,9173.8+2,519
70 to 74 2,3482.53,6553.15,2153.3+2,867
75 to 79 1,6611.83,0142.54,4472.8+2,786
80 to 84 1,2161.31,9621.73,4662.2+2,250
85 and over1,1101.21,9381.63,7862.4+2,675
Total persons93,353100.0118,443100.0157,607100.0+64,255

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 3,786 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 3,466 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 4,447 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 5,215 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 5,917 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 6,724 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 7,523 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 8,130 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 8,764 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 10,259 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 13,905 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 19,917 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 22,279 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 13,781 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 5,979 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 4,605 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 5,538 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 7,372 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,938 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,962 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,014 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,655 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,371 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 5,033 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 5,775 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 6,202 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 6,678 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 7,849 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 10,732 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 15,166 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 17,038 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 10,616 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 4,612 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 3,616 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 4,394 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,790 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,110 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,216 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,661 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,348 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 3,398 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,850 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 4,504 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 4,856 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 5,560 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6,309 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 8,470 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 13,123 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 15,530 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 7,973 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,923 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,667 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 3,390 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 4,464
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 1,848 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,504 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 1,433 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 1,560 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 1,546 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 1,691 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 1,748 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 1,927 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 2,087 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 2,410 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 3,173 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 4,752 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 5,241 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 3,164 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 1,367 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 989 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 1,144 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 1,581 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 827 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 746 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,353 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,307 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 973 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,183 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,271 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1,346 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 1,118 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,540 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 2,262 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 2,043 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,508 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2,643 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,690 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 949 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,004 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,326
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Yarra was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 16.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24 , which is expected to increase by 2,643 and account for 9.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 17,038 persons.

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