South Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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Rural North East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Rural North East indicate a 13.1% decrease in population under working age, a 33.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of South Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Rural North East - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41194.11304.61364.8+17
5 to 91836.31575.61716.0-12
10 to 142117.31595.71736.1-37
15 to 191816.21374.91334.7-48
20 to 241053.61023.6863.0-18
25 to 29883.0873.1812.8-7
30 to 34672.3913.2963.4+29
35 to 391234.21284.61384.8+15
40 to 442097.21445.11625.7-47
45 to 492428.31706.11836.4-59
50 to 542779.52268.12017.1-76
55 to 592659.12549.12237.9-41
60 to 642769.52719.72508.8-26
65 to 692428.32408.62418.5-1
70 to 741605.52117.52147.5+54
75 to 79973.41585.61625.7+65
80 to 84381.3903.21234.3+84
85 and over210.7481.7712.5+49
Total persons2,904100.02,804100.02,844100.0-60

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 71 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 123 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 162 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 241 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 250 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 223 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 162 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 138 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 96 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 81 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 173 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 171 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 136 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 158 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 211 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 240 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 271 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 254 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 226 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 128 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 137 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 38 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 97 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 160 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 276 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 265 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 277 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 209 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 123 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 67 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 88 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 105 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 181 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 211 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 183 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 119
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -21 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -25 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -16 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 61 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -51 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -72 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -65 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -44 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -51 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -25 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 11
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Rural North East was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 61 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 271 persons.

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