South Gippsland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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South Gippsland Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for South Gippsland Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,958 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
South Gippsland ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,5131,5341,5981,703
Deaths--1,5121,5861,7421,893
Natural increase/decrease--1-51-145-190
Net migration--1,4811,7311,9422,149
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--2001100

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 395 2035 forecast population change: 387 2034 forecast population change: 386 2033 forecast population change: 384 2032 forecast population change: 408 2031 forecast population change: 375 2030 forecast population change: 381 2029 forecast population change: 357 2028 forecast population change: 349 2027 forecast population change: 445 2026 forecast population change: 354 2025 forecast population change: 327 2024 forecast population change: 319 2023 forecast population change: 341 2022 forecast population change: 339 2021 forecast population change: 344 2020 forecast population change: 312 2019 forecast population change: 258 2018 forecast population change: 259 2017 forecast population change: 329
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -39 2035 Natural increase: -40 2034 Natural increase: -39 2033 Natural increase: -37 2032 Natural increase: -36 2031 Natural increase: -34 2030 Natural increase: -33 2029 Natural increase: -30 2028 Natural increase: -25 2027 Natural increase: -23 2026 Natural increase: -20 2025 Natural increase: -15 2024 Natural increase: -11 2023 Natural increase: -5 2022 Natural increase: 0 2021 Natural increase: 4 2020 Natural increase: 3 2019 Natural increase: 3 2018 Natural increase: 2 2017 Natural increase: -10 2036 Total deaths: 388 2035 Total deaths: 385 2034 Total deaths: 379 2033 Total deaths: 373 2032 Total deaths: 368 2031 Total deaths: 361 2030 Total deaths: 355 2029 Total deaths: 349 2028 Total deaths: 341 2027 Total deaths: 336 2026 Total deaths: 330 2025 Total deaths: 323 2024 Total deaths: 318 2023 Total deaths: 311 2022 Total deaths: 304 2021 Total deaths: 299 2020 Total deaths: 300 2019 Total deaths: 300 2018 Total deaths: 302 2017 Total deaths: 311 2036 Total births: 350 2035 Total births: 345 2034 Total births: 341 2033 Total births: 336 2032 Total births: 331 2031 Total births: 327 2030 Total births: 323 2029 Total births: 319 2028 Total births: 316 2027 Total births: 313 2026 Total births: 310 2025 Total births: 308 2024 Total births: 307 2023 Total births: 305 2022 Total births: 304 2021 Total births: 303 2020 Total births: 302 2019 Total births: 303 2018 Total births: 304 2017 Total births: 301 2036 Natural increase: -39 2035 Natural increase: -40 2034 Natural increase: -39 2033 Natural increase: -37 2032 Natural increase: -36 2031 Natural increase: -34 2030 Natural increase: -33 2029 Natural increase: -30 2028 Natural increase: -25 2027 Natural increase: -23 2026 Natural increase: -20 2025 Natural increase: -15 2024 Natural increase: -11 2023 Natural increase: -5 2022 Natural increase: 0 2021 Natural increase: 4 2020 Natural increase: 3 2019 Natural increase: 3 2018 Natural increase: 2 2017 Natural increase: -10 2036 Total deaths: 388 2035 Total deaths: 385 2034 Total deaths: 379 2033 Total deaths: 373 2032 Total deaths: 368 2031 Total deaths: 361 2030 Total deaths: 355 2029 Total deaths: 349 2028 Total deaths: 341 2027 Total deaths: 336 2026 Total deaths: 330 2025 Total deaths: 323 2024 Total deaths: 318 2023 Total deaths: 311 2022 Total deaths: 304 2021 Total deaths: 299 2020 Total deaths: 300 2019 Total deaths: 300 2018 Total deaths: 302 2017 Total deaths: 311 2036 Total births: 350 2035 Total births: 345 2034 Total births: 341 2033 Total births: 336 2032 Total births: 331 2031 Total births: 327 2030 Total births: 323 2029 Total births: 319 2028 Total births: 316 2027 Total births: 313 2026 Total births: 310 2025 Total births: 308 2024 Total births: 307 2023 Total births: 305 2022 Total births: 304 2021 Total births: 303 2020 Total births: 302 2019 Total births: 303 2018 Total births: 304 2017 Total births: 301
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 433 2035 Total net migration: 427 2034 Total net migration: 425 2033 Total net migration: 421 2032 Total net migration: 444 2031 Total net migration: 409 2030 Total net migration: 414 2029 Total net migration: 387 2028 Total net migration: 375 2027 Total net migration: 358 2026 Total net migration: 374 2025 Total net migration: 341 2024 Total net migration: 330 2023 Total net migration: 347 2022 Total net migration: 339 2021 Total net migration: 340 2020 Total net migration: 309 2019 Total net migration: 255 2018 Total net migration: 237 2017 Total net migration: 340 2036 Total out migration: 2,707 2035 Total out migration: 2,675 2034 Total out migration: 2,645 2033 Total out migration: 2,614 2032 Total out migration: 2,580 2031 Total out migration: 2,549 2030 Total out migration: 2,518 2029 Total out migration: 2,490 2028 Total out migration: 2,463 2027 Total out migration: 2,437 2026 Total out migration: 2,411 2025 Total out migration: 2,389 2024 Total out migration: 2,368 2023 Total out migration: 2,344 2022 Total out migration: 2,312 2021 Total out migration: 2,288 2020 Total out migration: 2,270 2019 Total out migration: 2,256 2018 Total out migration: 2,245 2017 Total out migration: 2,206 2036 Total in migration: 3,140 2035 Total in migration: 3,102 2034 Total in migration: 3,069 2033 Total in migration: 3,035 2032 Total in migration: 3,024 2031 Total in migration: 2,958 2030 Total in migration: 2,932 2029 Total in migration: 2,877 2028 Total in migration: 2,837 2027 Total in migration: 2,795 2026 Total in migration: 2,785 2025 Total in migration: 2,730 2024 Total in migration: 2,698 2023 Total in migration: 2,691 2022 Total in migration: 2,651 2021 Total in migration: 2,628 2020 Total in migration: 2,580 2019 Total in migration: 2,511 2018 Total in migration: 2,482 2017 Total in migration: 2,546 2036 Total net migration: 433 2035 Total net migration: 427 2034 Total net migration: 425 2033 Total net migration: 421 2032 Total net migration: 444 2031 Total net migration: 409 2030 Total net migration: 414 2029 Total net migration: 387 2028 Total net migration: 375 2027 Total net migration: 358 2026 Total net migration: 374 2025 Total net migration: 341 2024 Total net migration: 330 2023 Total net migration: 347 2022 Total net migration: 339 2021 Total net migration: 340 2020 Total net migration: 309 2019 Total net migration: 255 2018 Total net migration: 237 2017 Total net migration: 340 2036 Total out migration: 2,707 2035 Total out migration: 2,675 2034 Total out migration: 2,645 2033 Total out migration: 2,614 2032 Total out migration: 2,580 2031 Total out migration: 2,549 2030 Total out migration: 2,518 2029 Total out migration: 2,490 2028 Total out migration: 2,463 2027 Total out migration: 2,437 2026 Total out migration: 2,411 2025 Total out migration: 2,389 2024 Total out migration: 2,368 2023 Total out migration: 2,344 2022 Total out migration: 2,312 2021 Total out migration: 2,288 2020 Total out migration: 2,270 2019 Total out migration: 2,256 2018 Total out migration: 2,245 2017 Total out migration: 2,206 2036 Total in migration: 3,140 2035 Total in migration: 3,102 2034 Total in migration: 3,069 2033 Total in migration: 3,035 2032 Total in migration: 3,024 2031 Total in migration: 2,958 2030 Total in migration: 2,932 2029 Total in migration: 2,877 2028 Total in migration: 2,837 2027 Total in migration: 2,795 2026 Total in migration: 2,785 2025 Total in migration: 2,730 2024 Total in migration: 2,698 2023 Total in migration: 2,691 2022 Total in migration: 2,651 2021 Total in migration: 2,628 2020 Total in migration: 2,580 2019 Total in migration: 2,511 2018 Total in migration: 2,482 2017 Total in migration: 2,546
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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