South Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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South Gippsland Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in South Gippsland Shire will increase by an average of 197 dwellings per annum to 19,994 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in South Gippsland Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
South Gippsland ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
South Gippsland Shire+3,938+24.5
Korumburra+978+46.9
Leongatha+1,061+41.5
Mirboo North - Baromi+143+14.1
Nyora - Poowong & District+748+65.3
Rural North East+60+4.1
Rural West+127+12.0
South East Coastal District+463+11.6
South West Coastal District+358+13.1

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 19,994 2035 Total dwellings: 19,787 2034 Total dwellings: 19,581 2033 Total dwellings: 19,374 2032 Total dwellings: 19,166 2031 Total dwellings: 18,958 2030 Total dwellings: 18,752 2029 Total dwellings: 18,548 2028 Total dwellings: 18,347 2027 Total dwellings: 18,147 2026 Total dwellings: 17,950 2025 Total dwellings: 17,750 2024 Total dwellings: 17,552 2023 Total dwellings: 17,356 2022 Total dwellings: 17,158 2021 Total dwellings: 16,961 2020 Total dwellings: 16,767 2019 Total dwellings: 16,577 2018 Total dwellings: 16,397 2017 Total dwellings: 16,222 2036 Total dwellings: 19,994 2035 Total dwellings: 19,787 2034 Total dwellings: 19,581 2033 Total dwellings: 19,374 2032 Total dwellings: 19,166 2031 Total dwellings: 18,958 2030 Total dwellings: 18,752 2029 Total dwellings: 18,548 2028 Total dwellings: 18,347 2027 Total dwellings: 18,147 2026 Total dwellings: 17,950 2025 Total dwellings: 17,750 2024 Total dwellings: 17,552 2023 Total dwellings: 17,356 2022 Total dwellings: 17,158 2021 Total dwellings: 16,961 2020 Total dwellings: 16,767 2019 Total dwellings: 16,577 2018 Total dwellings: 16,397 2017 Total dwellings: 16,222 2036 Forecast development: 207 2035 Forecast development: 206 2034 Forecast development: 207 2033 Forecast development: 208 2032 Forecast development: 208 2031 Forecast development: 206 2030 Forecast development: 204 2029 Forecast development: 201 2028 Forecast development: 200 2027 Forecast development: 197 2026 Forecast development: 200 2025 Forecast development: 198 2024 Forecast development: 196 2023 Forecast development: 198 2022 Forecast development: 197 2021 Forecast development: 194 2020 Forecast development: 190 2019 Forecast development: 180 2018 Forecast development: 175 2017 Forecast development: 166
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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