South Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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South Gippsland Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in South Gippsland Shire is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across South Gippsland Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • South Gippsland has a dual housing market, attracting both retirees/lifestylers and families. Retirees primarily settle in areas with natural amenity such as the coastal strip and the Strzelecki Ranges. In contrast, families are more likely to settle in regional towns such as Leongatha and Korumburra, or those parts of the Shire in the north and west which are increasingly accessible to labour markets in south eastern Melbourne.
  • Like most of regional Australia, South Gippsland loses young adults (18-24 years) to Melbourne and other parts of Australia for employment, education and lifestyle purposes.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -67 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -46 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 38 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 208 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 198 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 194 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 247 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 316 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -162 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -476 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 22 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 279 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 369 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 7 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -2 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -16 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -45 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 198 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 156 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 142 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 137 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 253 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 342 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 253 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 111 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -192 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -461 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 51 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 227 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 294 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -39 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -67 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -46 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 38 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 208 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 198 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 194 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 247 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 316 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -162 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -476 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 22 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 279 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 369 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 7 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -2 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -16 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -45 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 198 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 156 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 142 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 137 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 253 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 342 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 253 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 111 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -192 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -461 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 51 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 227 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 294
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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