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City of Greater SheppartonPopulation forecast

City of Greater Shepparton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Greater Shepparton indicate a 20.0% increase in population under working age, a 26.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Shepparton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Greater Shepparton - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,4646.95,3547.25,8517.0+1,387
5 to 94,5477.05,3727.25,9027.1+1,355
10 to 144,1756.45,1006.85,7576.9+1,582
15 to 194,4396.84,5696.15,1416.2+702
20 to 243,8195.94,0875.54,6335.6+814
25 to 294,2296.54,5736.14,8725.9+643
30 to 344,0806.34,6926.35,0816.1+1,001
35 to 393,7505.85,0016.75,4646.6+1,714
40 to 444,1526.44,8016.45,3476.4+1,196
45 to 494,2806.64,4646.05,2876.4+1,007
50 to 544,2946.64,4005.94,9686.0+674
55 to 594,1156.34,2385.74,5085.4+393
60 to 643,7735.83,9685.34,2075.1+433
65 to 693,4525.33,6604.93,9124.7+460
70 to 742,6254.03,2844.43,6284.4+1,003
75 to 792,0193.12,8733.93,2613.9+1,242
80 to 841,3972.12,0322.72,6463.2+1,249
85 and over1,4682.32,0092.72,7683.3+1,301
Total persons65,079100.074,476100.083,234100.0+18,155
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Greater Shepparton was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 1,251 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 5,372 persons.

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