City of Greater SheppartonPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Rural East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Rural East indicate a 6.9% increase in population under working age, a 4.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a --% stable trend in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Shepparton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Rural East - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 716.3817.0826.8+11
5 to 9 696.1837.2877.3+18
10 to 14 918.0837.2887.4-2
15 to 19 988.7615.3665.5-32
20 to 24 575.1736.3726.0+15
25 to 29 322.8353.0282.4-3
30 to 34 454.0423.7463.9+1
35 to 39 504.4726.2756.2+25
40 to 44 696.1988.5988.2+30
45 to 49 968.51049.11159.6+20
50 to 54 998.8907.81078.9+7
55 to 59 908.0847.3907.50
60 to 64 958.4726.2675.6-28
65 to 69 514.5635.5615.1+11
70 to 74 474.2685.9574.7+10
75 to 79 423.8272.3342.8-9
80 to 84 201.870.6121.0-8
85 and over90.8110.9110.9+2
Total persons1,130100.01,152100.01,198100.0+68

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 67 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 90 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 107 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 115 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 98 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 75 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 72 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 87 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 82 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 35 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 61 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 83 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 83 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 9 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 20 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 47 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 51 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 95 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 90 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 99 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 96 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 69 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 50 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 45 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 32 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 57 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 98 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 91 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 69 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 71
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -13 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -23 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -37 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -8 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 10
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Rural East was ages 50 to 54 , which accounted for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44 , which is expected to increase by 29 and account for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 104 persons.

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