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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

City of Newcastle

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Newcastle will increase by an average of 780 dwellings per annum to 88,749 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Newcastle. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
City of NewcastleChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
City of Newcastle+19,502+28.2
Adamstown+940+35.1
Adamstown Heights+98+5.7
Bar Beach - The Junction+205+18.6
Beresfield - Tarro - Northern Environmental Region+253+10.5
Birmingham Gardens - Callaghan+106+10.8
Broadmeadow - Hamilton North+974+78.0
Carrington+50+5.1
Cooks Hill+259+12.9
Elermore Vale - Rankin Park+1,716+62.2
Fletcher - Minmi+2,376+128.4
Georgetown - Waratah+326+10.9
Hamilton+406+19.5
Hamilton South - Hamilton East+230+9.7
Islington - Tighes Hill+314+18.2
Jesmond+72+5.7
Kotara+467+27.5
Lambton+102+4.6
Maryland+141+5.0
Maryville - Wickham+1,430+105.3
Mayfield - Mayfield East+1,368+26.2
Mayfield West - Warabrook+50+3.1
Merewether - Merewether Heights+356+6.4
New Lambton - New Lambton Heights+477+10.0
Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West+4,467+153.4
North Lambton+255+18.1
Shortland - Sandgate+464+25.6
Stockton+150+8.2
The Hill+75+6.5
Wallsend+1,319+23.8
Waratah West+56+4.9
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2018.

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