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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

City of Newcastle

Population summary

Between 2016 and 2041, the population for the City of Newcastle is forecast to increase by 41,130 persons (25.56% growth), at an average annual change of 0.91%.

This table summarises the population for the City of Newcastle and each of its small areas. This enables you to see how population change is affecting different parts of the LGA in different ways. Some small areas may be rapidly growing whilst others are stable or even declining in population.

Continue to the forecast results section to see detailed forecasts of population, households, and dwellings for each of the small areas.

Please note that population numbers in for the 2016 base year are derived from Estimated Resident Population from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. These differ from (and are usually higher than) Census counts as they factor in population missed by the Census and population overseas on Census night. They are generally considered a more accurate measure of population size than Census counts.

Population summary
City of NewcastleForecast yearChange between 2016 and 2041
Area201620212026203120362041Total changeAvg. annual % change
City of Newcastle160,919171,307180,573188,000195,043202,049+41,130+0.91
Adamstown Heights4,4784,5874,6814,7424,7704,800+322+0.28
Bar Beach - The Junction2,1732,2142,2752,3472,4202,502+329+0.57
Beresfield - Tarro - Northern Environmental Region5,5065,6705,7805,8945,9906,090+584+0.40
Birmingham Gardens - Callaghan3,3073,4393,4513,4633,4843,507+200+0.24
Broadmeadow - Hamilton North2,6522,8633,1163,6264,1534,672+2,020+2.29
Cooks Hill3,9144,0614,1124,1524,2184,288+374+0.37
Elermore Vale - Rankin Park7,0137,8158,8749,89910,91111,936+4,923+2.15
Fletcher - Minmi6,0088,2599,77211,24812,42913,136+7,128+3.18
Georgetown - Waratah6,7837,0637,2257,3207,4097,479+696+0.39
Hamilton South - Hamilton East5,2195,3245,4285,5105,6055,705+486+0.36
Islington - Tighes Hill3,7304,0124,1544,2094,2734,339+609+0.61
Maryville - Wickham2,6113,5194,4164,7314,9895,249+2,638+2.83
Mayfield - Mayfield East11,34611,91312,57413,19513,79314,357+3,011+0.95
Mayfield West - Warabrook3,9664,0354,0834,1294,1734,213+247+0.24
Merewether - Merewether Heights12,92713,02313,06713,07513,12213,210+283+0.09
New Lambton - New Lambton Heights11,23611,30511,40711,53211,69511,888+652+0.23
Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West4,5676,5607,8419,08710,27011,426+6,859+3.74
North Lambton3,5653,7474,0904,1274,1224,128+563+0.59
Shortland - Sandgate4,3254,6565,1595,4495,4925,518+1,193+0.98
The Hill2,0692,1222,1422,1652,1872,211+142+0.27
Waratah West3,3583,4033,4263,4413,4733,499+141+0.16
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

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