City of NewcastlePopulation forecast
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City of Newcastle

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Newcastle will increase by an average of 780 dwellings per annum to 88,749 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Newcastle. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
City of NewcastleChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
City of Newcastle+19,502+28.2
Adamstown+940+35.1
Adamstown Heights+98+5.7
Bar Beach - The Junction+205+18.6
Beresfield - Tarro - Northern Environmental Region+253+10.5
Birmingham Gardens - Callaghan+106+10.8
Broadmeadow - Hamilton North+974+78.0
Carrington+50+5.1
Cooks Hill+259+12.9
Elermore Vale - Rankin Park+1,716+62.2
Fletcher - Minmi+2,376+128.4
Georgetown - Waratah+326+10.9
Hamilton+406+19.5
Hamilton South - Hamilton East+230+9.7
Islington - Tighes Hill+314+18.2
Jesmond+72+5.7
Kotara+467+27.5
Lambton+102+4.6
Maryland+141+5.0
Maryville - Wickham+1,430+105.3
Mayfield - Mayfield East+1,368+26.2
Mayfield West - Warabrook+50+3.1
Merewether - Merewether Heights+356+6.4
New Lambton - New Lambton Heights+477+10.0
Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West+4,467+153.4
North Lambton+255+18.1
Shortland - Sandgate+464+25.6
Stockton+150+8.2
The Hill+75+6.5
Wallsend+1,319+23.8
Waratah West+56+4.9

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 88,749 2040 Total dwellings: 88,049 2039 Total dwellings: 87,349 2038 Total dwellings: 86,649 2037 Total dwellings: 85,949 2036 Total dwellings: 85,249 2035 Total dwellings: 84,549 2034 Total dwellings: 83,849 2033 Total dwellings: 83,149 2032 Total dwellings: 82,449 2031 Total dwellings: 81,735 2030 Total dwellings: 81,024 2029 Total dwellings: 80,310 2028 Total dwellings: 79,569 2027 Total dwellings: 78,815 2026 Total dwellings: 78,028 2025 Total dwellings: 77,220 2024 Total dwellings: 76,385 2023 Total dwellings: 75,526 2022 Total dwellings: 74,639 2021 Total dwellings: 73,729 2020 Total dwellings: 72,804 2019 Total dwellings: 71,862 2018 Total dwellings: 70,945 2017 Total dwellings: 70,168 2041 Total dwellings: 88,749 2040 Total dwellings: 88,049 2039 Total dwellings: 87,349 2038 Total dwellings: 86,649 2037 Total dwellings: 85,949 2036 Total dwellings: 85,249 2035 Total dwellings: 84,549 2034 Total dwellings: 83,849 2033 Total dwellings: 83,149 2032 Total dwellings: 82,449 2031 Total dwellings: 81,735 2030 Total dwellings: 81,024 2029 Total dwellings: 80,310 2028 Total dwellings: 79,569 2027 Total dwellings: 78,815 2026 Total dwellings: 78,028 2025 Total dwellings: 77,220 2024 Total dwellings: 76,385 2023 Total dwellings: 75,526 2022 Total dwellings: 74,639 2021 Total dwellings: 73,729 2020 Total dwellings: 72,804 2019 Total dwellings: 71,862 2018 Total dwellings: 70,945 2017 Total dwellings: 70,168 2041 Forecast development: 700 2040 Forecast development: 700 2039 Forecast development: 700 2038 Forecast development: 700 2037 Forecast development: 700 2036 Forecast development: 700 2035 Forecast development: 700 2034 Forecast development: 700 2033 Forecast development: 700 2032 Forecast development: 714 2031 Forecast development: 711 2030 Forecast development: 714 2029 Forecast development: 741 2028 Forecast development: 754 2027 Forecast development: 787 2026 Forecast development: 808 2025 Forecast development: 835 2024 Forecast development: 859 2023 Forecast development: 887 2022 Forecast development: 910 2021 Forecast development: 925 2020 Forecast development: 942 2019 Forecast development: 917 2018 Forecast development: 777 2017 Forecast development: 921
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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