City of NewcastlePopulation forecast
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City of Newcastle

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Newcastle. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
City of NewcastleForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population160,919171,307180,573188,000195,043202,049
Change in population (5yrs)--10,3889,2667,4277,0437,007
Average annual change--1.26%1.06%0.81%0.74%0.71%
Households65,37769,46273,58477,08780,36783,629
Average household size2.382.392.382.372.362.35
Population in non private dwellings5,0385,3125,3875,4625,5575,632
Dwellings69,24573,72778,02681,73385,24788,747
Dwelling occupancy rate94.4194.2294.3194.3294.2894.23

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2041 Average household size: 2.35 2040 Average household size: 2.35 2039 Average household size: 2.35 2038 Average household size: 2.35 2037 Average household size: 2.36 2036 Average household size: 2.36 2035 Average household size: 2.36 2034 Average household size: 2.36 2033 Average household size: 2.36 2032 Average household size: 2.37 2031 Average household size: 2.37 2030 Average household size: 2.37 2029 Average household size: 2.37 2028 Average household size: 2.38 2027 Average household size: 2.38 2026 Average household size: 2.38 2025 Average household size: 2.38 2024 Average household size: 2.38 2023 Average household size: 2.39 2022 Average household size: 2.39 2021 Average household size: 2.39 2020 Average household size: 2.39 2019 Average household size: 2.39 2018 Average household size: 2.39 2017 Average household size: 2.39 2016 Average household size: 2.38 2041 Average household size: 2.35 2040 Average household size: 2.35 2039 Average household size: 2.35 2038 Average household size: 2.35 2037 Average household size: 2.36 2036 Average household size: 2.36 2035 Average household size: 2.36 2034 Average household size: 2.36 2033 Average household size: 2.36 2032 Average household size: 2.37 2031 Average household size: 2.37 2030 Average household size: 2.37 2029 Average household size: 2.37 2028 Average household size: 2.38 2027 Average household size: 2.38 2026 Average household size: 2.38 2025 Average household size: 2.38 2024 Average household size: 2.38 2023 Average household size: 2.39 2022 Average household size: 2.39 2021 Average household size: 2.39 2020 Average household size: 2.39 2019 Average household size: 2.39 2018 Average household size: 2.39 2017 Average household size: 2.39 2041 Households: 83,628 2040 Households: 82,975 2039 Households: 82,322 2038 Households: 81,668 2037 Households: 81,015 2036 Households: 80,361 2035 Households: 79,708 2034 Households: 79,055 2033 Households: 78,403 2032 Households: 77,750 2031 Households: 77,083 2030 Households: 76,417 2029 Households: 75,747 2028 Households: 75,043 2027 Households: 74,329 2026 Households: 73,578 2025 Households: 72,808 2024 Households: 72,015 2023 Households: 71,199 2022 Households: 70,355 2021 Households: 69,463 2020 Households: 68,560 2019 Households: 67,638 2018 Households: 66,735 2017 Households: 65,945 2016 Households: 65,378 2041 Total population: 202,049 2040 Total population: 200,659 2039 Total population: 199,191 2038 Total population: 197,798 2037 Total population: 196,415 2036 Total population: 195,043 2035 Total population: 193,664 2034 Total population: 192,187 2033 Total population: 190,798 2032 Total population: 189,422 2031 Total population: 188,000 2030 Total population: 186,629 2029 Total population: 185,153 2028 Total population: 183,679 2027 Total population: 182,169 2026 Total population: 180,573 2025 Total population: 178,893 2024 Total population: 177,061 2023 Total population: 175,262 2022 Total population: 173,356 2021 Total population: 171,307 2020 Total population: 169,123 2019 Total population: 166,984 2018 Total population: 164,657 2017 Total population: 162,437 2016 Total population: 160,919
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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