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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West indicate a 45.3% increase in males under working age, a 20.8% decrease in males of retirement age, and a 2.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Newcastle is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West - Total males[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222046Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)932.91043.12733.3+180
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)962.91534.63083.8+212
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)662.01404.22683.3+202
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)3089.439712.08029.8+494
Young workforce (25 to 34)75523.071421.61,58419.4+829
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)64919.863319.11,82222.3+1,174
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)42412.943113.01,07613.2+652
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)40812.439812.092611.3+518
Seniors (70 to 84)42513.03079.387310.7+448
Elderly aged (85 and over)531.6341.02302.8+176
Total persons3,278100.03,310100.08,162100.0+4,884
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for males in Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West was ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which accounted for 23.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24), which is expected to increase by 89 and account for 12.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2022 is Young workforce (25 to 34) years, with a total of 714 males.

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