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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West indicate a 45.3% increase in males under working age, a 20.8% decrease in males of retirement age, and a 2.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Newcastle is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West - Total males[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222046Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4932.91043.12733.3+180
5 to 9742.21033.12252.8+151
10 to 14581.81203.62072.5+150
15 to 19712.21384.22863.5+214
20 to 242688.23289.96608.1+393
25 to 2939712.138511.683710.3+440
30 to 3435810.93299.97479.1+389
35 to 392728.32397.26568.0+384
40 to 441915.82016.16007.3+408
45 to 491865.71925.85676.9+381
50 to 541915.82246.85466.7+355
55 to 592337.12076.25306.5+297
60 to 642226.82156.55106.2+288
65 to 691855.71835.54165.1+231
70 to 741935.91514.53894.8+196
75 to 791364.2983.02923.6+155
80 to 84962.9591.81922.4+96
85 and over531.6341.02302.8+176
Total persons3,278100.03,310100.08,162100.0+4,884
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for males in Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 12.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 67 and account for 4.2% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2022 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 385 males.

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