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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

Mayfield - Mayfield East

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Mayfield - Mayfield East indicate a 1.0% increase in males under working age, a 15.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 1.7% decrease in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Newcastle is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mayfield - Mayfield East - Total males[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222046Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43656.43466.04286.6+63
5 to 92895.03045.24456.8+156
10 to 142604.52734.73885.9+128
15 to 192334.12744.73495.3+116
20 to 244157.24237.33625.5-53
25 to 2961010.658310.04767.3-134
30 to 3458610.258610.14787.3-108
35 to 394918.64828.34827.4-9
40 to 444047.03596.24196.4+14
45 to 493195.63065.33425.2+23
50 to 543225.63285.73325.1+10
55 to 593426.03325.72954.5-47
60 to 643365.83165.52934.5-43
65 to 692464.32804.83064.7+59
70 to 741863.22153.73134.8+128
75 to 791312.31552.72944.5+162
80 to 84801.41011.72884.4+208
85 and over1252.21382.42393.7+114
Total persons5,741100.05,800100.06,528100.0+787
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for males in Mayfield - Mayfield East was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.6% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 40 and account for 4.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2022 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 586 males.

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