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City of NewcastlePopulation forecast

Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West indicate a 92.7% increase in females under working age, a 25.8% increase in females of retirement age, and a 54.8% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Newcastle is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West - Total females202120312036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4842.71413.01733.1+90
5 to 9541.81042.21302.3+76
10 to 14551.81272.71652.9+110
15 to 191013.31803.92103.7+109
20 to 242799.03928.44588.1+179
25 to 2934311.151811.164811.5+305
30 to 343049.847210.25339.4+229
35 to 392076.73557.64187.4+212
40 to 441755.73247.04067.2+231
45 to 491524.92886.23816.8+229
50 to 541846.03056.64057.2+220
55 to 592327.53347.23676.5+135
60 to 642347.62545.53355.9+100
65 to 691866.02365.12764.9+90
70 to 741886.12284.92434.3+54
75 to 791434.61563.41993.5+56
80 to 84983.21122.41362.4+38
85 and over642.11222.61642.9+100
Total persons3,083100.04,649100.05,646100.0+2,563
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Newcastle - Newcastle East - Newcastle West was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 11.1% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 175 and account for 11.1% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 518 females.

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