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Mornington Peninsula ShirePopulation forecast

Mornington Peninsula Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Mornington Peninsula Shire is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Mornington Peninsula Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Retirement migration to many parts of the City, especially areas in the southern Port Phillip coastal strip
  • A significant loss of young adults (school-leavers and people in their early twenties) to inner suburbs of Melbourne
  • New couple and young family housing opportunities in Mornington, Mount Martha, Hastings, Rosebud, and Rosebud West
  • Loss of older people aged 75+ years, moving to access services and/or family support, alternatively moving into aged care facilities

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