Bacchus Marsh and surrounds
Net migration by age
The age group with the highest net migration in Bacchus Marsh and surrounds is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.
Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.
Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.
Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Moorabool Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.
Between 2011-2026, migration assumptions influenced by:
- gains in most age groups under 65 years, owing to increased housing opportunity with continuing development in Maddingley (in particular the Stonehill estate), Darley and, in the longer term, the development of the Underbank estate within Bacchus Marsh small area
- Strong attraction of family households (0-19 and 25-49 years), falling as the development opportunties in Darley become exhausted
- During the earlier period, little net change thorugh migration in young adults (15-24 years), becoming a net loss post 2026 as children who moved into the area during the earlier period of growth mature into this cohort and leave home, seeking affordable accomodation, employment and education opportunities elsewhere
- Gain of empty-nesters (50-64 years), declining in the longer term
- Gain of retirees and older people (65+ years), attracted to services and supported accomodation