Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast
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Moorabool Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Moorabool Shire will increase by an average of 355 dwellings per annum to 22,337 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Moorabool Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2041
Moorabool ShireChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2041
Areanumber%
Moorabool Shire+10,655+91.2
Bacchus Marsh+2,928+108.8
Ballan+1,336+113.7
Darley+889+33.8
Maddingley+2,723+306.3
Rural East+1,951+102.0
Rural West+828+34.7
Bacchus Marsh and surrounds+6,540+105.3

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2015.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 22,337 2040 Total dwellings: 21,943 2039 Total dwellings: 21,544 2038 Total dwellings: 21,160 2037 Total dwellings: 20,781 2036 Total dwellings: 20,400 2035 Total dwellings: 20,012 2034 Total dwellings: 19,623 2033 Total dwellings: 19,243 2032 Total dwellings: 18,867 2031 Total dwellings: 18,495 2030 Total dwellings: 18,123 2029 Total dwellings: 17,760 2028 Total dwellings: 17,416 2027 Total dwellings: 17,072 2026 Total dwellings: 16,728 2025 Total dwellings: 16,384 2024 Total dwellings: 16,045 2023 Total dwellings: 15,699 2022 Total dwellings: 15,362 2021 Total dwellings: 15,032 2020 Total dwellings: 14,693 2019 Total dwellings: 14,342 2018 Total dwellings: 13,990 2017 Total dwellings: 13,626 2016 Total dwellings: 13,255 2015 Total dwellings: 12,899 2014 Total dwellings: 12,583 2013 Total dwellings: 12,266 2012 Total dwellings: 11,964 2041 Total dwellings: 22,337 2040 Total dwellings: 21,943 2039 Total dwellings: 21,544 2038 Total dwellings: 21,160 2037 Total dwellings: 20,781 2036 Total dwellings: 20,400 2035 Total dwellings: 20,012 2034 Total dwellings: 19,623 2033 Total dwellings: 19,243 2032 Total dwellings: 18,867 2031 Total dwellings: 18,495 2030 Total dwellings: 18,123 2029 Total dwellings: 17,760 2028 Total dwellings: 17,416 2027 Total dwellings: 17,072 2026 Total dwellings: 16,728 2025 Total dwellings: 16,384 2024 Total dwellings: 16,045 2023 Total dwellings: 15,699 2022 Total dwellings: 15,362 2021 Total dwellings: 15,032 2020 Total dwellings: 14,693 2019 Total dwellings: 14,342 2018 Total dwellings: 13,990 2017 Total dwellings: 13,626 2016 Total dwellings: 13,255 2015 Total dwellings: 12,899 2014 Total dwellings: 12,583 2013 Total dwellings: 12,266 2012 Total dwellings: 11,964 2041 Forecast development: 394 2040 Forecast development: 399 2039 Forecast development: 384 2038 Forecast development: 379 2037 Forecast development: 381 2036 Forecast development: 388 2035 Forecast development: 389 2034 Forecast development: 380 2033 Forecast development: 376 2032 Forecast development: 372 2031 Forecast development: 372 2030 Forecast development: 363 2029 Forecast development: 344 2028 Forecast development: 344 2027 Forecast development: 344 2026 Forecast development: 344 2025 Forecast development: 339 2024 Forecast development: 346 2023 Forecast development: 337 2022 Forecast development: 330 2021 Forecast development: 339 2020 Forecast development: 351 2019 Forecast development: 352 2018 Forecast development: 364 2017 Forecast development: 371 2016 Forecast development: 356 2015 Forecast development: 316 2014 Forecast development: 317 2013 Forecast development: 302 2012 Forecast development: 282
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
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