Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast
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Moorabool Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Moorabool Shire will increase by an average of 496 dwellings per annum to 25,590 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Moorabool Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
Moorabool ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
Moorabool Shire+12,412+94.2
Bacchus Marsh+3,107+105.7
Ballan+1,851+176.3
Darley+601+19.5
Maddingley+833+61.3
Merrimu, Hopetoun Park+3,035+625.8
Parwan Station+2,010+9752.1
Rural East+375+22.4
Rural West+600+23.4
Bacchus Marsh and Surrounds+9,586+121.6

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 25,590 2040 Total dwellings: 25,002 2039 Total dwellings: 24,414 2038 Total dwellings: 23,816 2037 Total dwellings: 23,218 2036 Total dwellings: 22,620 2035 Total dwellings: 22,022 2034 Total dwellings: 21,434 2033 Total dwellings: 20,845 2032 Total dwellings: 20,272 2031 Total dwellings: 19,691 2030 Total dwellings: 19,093 2029 Total dwellings: 18,513 2028 Total dwellings: 17,937 2027 Total dwellings: 17,398 2026 Total dwellings: 16,884 2025 Total dwellings: 16,398 2024 Total dwellings: 15,952 2023 Total dwellings: 15,556 2022 Total dwellings: 15,194 2021 Total dwellings: 14,837 2020 Total dwellings: 14,454 2019 Total dwellings: 14,071 2018 Total dwellings: 13,724 2017 Total dwellings: 13,433 2041 Total dwellings: 25,590 2040 Total dwellings: 25,002 2039 Total dwellings: 24,414 2038 Total dwellings: 23,816 2037 Total dwellings: 23,218 2036 Total dwellings: 22,620 2035 Total dwellings: 22,022 2034 Total dwellings: 21,434 2033 Total dwellings: 20,845 2032 Total dwellings: 20,272 2031 Total dwellings: 19,691 2030 Total dwellings: 19,093 2029 Total dwellings: 18,513 2028 Total dwellings: 17,937 2027 Total dwellings: 17,398 2026 Total dwellings: 16,884 2025 Total dwellings: 16,398 2024 Total dwellings: 15,952 2023 Total dwellings: 15,556 2022 Total dwellings: 15,194 2021 Total dwellings: 14,837 2020 Total dwellings: 14,454 2019 Total dwellings: 14,071 2018 Total dwellings: 13,724 2017 Total dwellings: 13,433 2041 Forecast development: 588 2040 Forecast development: 588 2039 Forecast development: 598 2038 Forecast development: 598 2037 Forecast development: 598 2036 Forecast development: 598 2035 Forecast development: 588 2034 Forecast development: 589 2033 Forecast development: 573 2032 Forecast development: 581 2031 Forecast development: 598 2030 Forecast development: 580 2029 Forecast development: 576 2028 Forecast development: 539 2027 Forecast development: 514 2026 Forecast development: 486 2025 Forecast development: 446 2024 Forecast development: 396 2023 Forecast development: 362 2022 Forecast development: 357 2021 Forecast development: 383 2020 Forecast development: 383 2019 Forecast development: 347 2018 Forecast development: 291 2017 Forecast development: 255
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.
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