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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Moorabool Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Moorabool Shire indicate a 35.4% increase in population under working age, a 37.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 29.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Moorabool Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Moorabool Shire - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,4176.43,5667.14,5767.0+2,160
5 to 92,6106.93,5697.14,7617.2+2,151
10 to 142,7147.23,3446.74,6637.1+1,949
15 to 192,1905.82,8885.84,0626.2+1,872
20 to 241,9405.12,6325.33,5805.4+1,640
25 to 292,3206.13,0806.23,9386.0+1,618
30 to 342,5736.83,6377.34,5767.0+2,003
35 to 392,6397.03,8407.74,9277.5+2,287
40 to 442,5226.73,7067.44,9847.6+2,463
45 to 492,4976.63,2346.54,4856.8+1,988
50 to 542,5876.82,8325.73,9136.0+1,326
55 to 592,4156.42,5425.13,2334.9+818
60 to 642,1825.82,5065.02,8344.3+652
65 to 692,0035.32,4084.82,7584.2+755
70 to 741,8434.92,2564.52,9094.4+1,066
75 to 791,1813.11,8093.62,4793.8+1,299
80 to 846291.71,2852.61,7132.6+1,084
85 and over6291.78811.81,3022.0+673
Total persons37,890100.050,013100.065,693100.0+27,803
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Moorabool Shire was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 1,201 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 3,840 persons.

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