Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast
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Moorabool Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Moorabool Shire indicate a 34.9% increase in population under working age, a 100.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 31.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Moorabool Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Moorabool Shire - Total persons201120262041Change between 2011 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,8746.52,5196.23,2466.1+1,372
5 to 9 1,9086.72,7096.73,4876.5+1,579
10 to 14 2,1857.62,8247.03,6396.8+1,454
15 to 19 2,1827.62,6226.53,3246.2+1,143
20 to 24 1,5895.52,0495.12,6104.9+1,021
25 to 29 1,4255.02,0375.02,5384.8+1,114
30 to 34 1,5685.52,4416.13,0555.7+1,486
35 to 39 1,8796.62,7596.83,5426.7+1,664
40 to 44 2,2637.92,9157.23,8387.2+1,575
45 to 49 2,3018.02,7656.93,7787.1+1,477
50 to 54 2,1117.42,6016.43,5216.6+1,410
55 to 59 1,9746.92,4626.13,1946.0+1,220
60 to 64 1,7796.22,3335.82,9125.5+1,134
65 to 69 1,3614.72,1545.32,7495.2+1,388
70 to 74 8412.91,8994.72,5214.7+1,680
75 to 79 6092.11,5073.72,1584.1+1,549
80 to 84 4271.59702.41,6663.1+1,239
85 and over4051.47851.91,4902.8+1,085
Total persons28,680100.040,351100.053,270100.0+24,589

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 1,490 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 1,666 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 2,158 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 2,521 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 2,749 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 2,912 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 3,194 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 3,521 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 3,778 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 3,838 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 3,542 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 3,055 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 2,538 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 2,610 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 3,324 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 3,639 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 3,487 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 3,246 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 785 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 970 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,507 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,899 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,154 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,333 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,462 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,601 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,765 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,915 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,759 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,441 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,037 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 2,049 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,622 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,824 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,709 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,519 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 405 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 427 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 609 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 841 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 1,361 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 1,779 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 1,974 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 2,111 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 2,301 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 2,263 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 1,879 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,568 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,425 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 1,589 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 2,182 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 2,185 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 1,908 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 1,874
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 705 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 697 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 651 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 621 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 595 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 579 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 732 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 920 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 1,013 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 923 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 784 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 613 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 502 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 561 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 702 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 815 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 778 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 727 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 380 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 542 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 898 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,058 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 793 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 554 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 488 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 491 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 464 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 652 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 880 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 873 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 612 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 460 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 441 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 639 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 800 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 645
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Moorabool Shire was ages 45 to 49 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 1,058 and account for 4.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 2,915 persons.

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