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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Moorabool Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Moorabool Shire indicate a 25.0% increase in population under working age, a 46.64% increase in population of retirement age, and a 19.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Moorabool Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Moorabool Shire - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,2056.82,8216.94,9757.8+2,769
5 to 92,3847.32,8787.15,0988.0+2,714
10 to 142,1796.72,7636.84,6077.2+2,429
15 to 192,1496.62,4246.03,8636.1+1,714
20 to 241,8265.62,1375.33,5255.5+1,699
25 to 291,8095.52,3435.83,9576.2+2,148
30 to 341,9395.92,6406.54,6337.3+2,693
35 to 392,1136.52,8477.04,9317.7+2,819
40 to 442,2747.02,7516.84,6717.3+2,397
45 to 492,4247.42,5326.24,1046.4+1,681
50 to 542,3697.32,4976.13,6385.7+1,269
55 to 592,1426.62,4796.13,1685.0+1,026
60 to 641,9546.02,3785.82,8164.4+862
65 to 691,8445.62,1595.32,6274.1+783
70 to 741,3474.11,8854.62,4083.8+1,061
75 to 797592.31,5353.82,0483.2+1,289
80 to 844741.59172.31,4982.3+1,024
85 and over4711.46821.71,2692.0+798
Total persons32,663100.040,667100.063,838100.0+31,175
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Moorabool Shire was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 775 and account for 3.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,878 persons.

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