City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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West Precinct

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in West Precinct will increase by an average of 75 dwellings per annum to 5,381 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in City of Maribyrnong. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Riveredge Terraces - 54 dwellings (2017)
  • 9 Ashley Street - 10 dwellings (2020-2022)
  • Orion Braybrook - 436 dwellings (2020-2025)
  • 247 Ballarat Road - 11 dwellings (2021)
  • 20-24 Rennison Street - 14 dwellings (2022)
  • 125-155 Ashley Street - 576 dwellings (2030-2041)
  • 343-347 Ballarat Road - 46 dwellings (2038-2041)
  • Small sites - 8 dwellings
  • Moderate-high level of infill (20-21 dwellings per annum)
  • Low-moderate level of activity centre (0-15 dwellings per annum)
  • Forecast residential development
    Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 5,381 2040 Total dwellings: 5,283 2039 Total dwellings: 5,185 2038 Total dwellings: 5,088 2037 Total dwellings: 4,991 2036 Total dwellings: 4,905 2035 Total dwellings: 4,824 2034 Total dwellings: 4,743 2033 Total dwellings: 4,662 2032 Total dwellings: 4,581 2031 Total dwellings: 4,500 2030 Total dwellings: 4,419 2029 Total dwellings: 4,363 2028 Total dwellings: 4,333 2027 Total dwellings: 4,303 2026 Total dwellings: 4,273 2025 Total dwellings: 4,243 2024 Total dwellings: 4,148 2023 Total dwellings: 4,033 2022 Total dwellings: 3,918 2021 Total dwellings: 3,801 2020 Total dwellings: 3,685 2019 Total dwellings: 3,622 2018 Total dwellings: 3,602 2017 Total dwellings: 3,578 2041 Total dwellings: 5,381 2040 Total dwellings: 5,283 2039 Total dwellings: 5,185 2038 Total dwellings: 5,088 2037 Total dwellings: 4,991 2036 Total dwellings: 4,905 2035 Total dwellings: 4,824 2034 Total dwellings: 4,743 2033 Total dwellings: 4,662 2032 Total dwellings: 4,581 2031 Total dwellings: 4,500 2030 Total dwellings: 4,419 2029 Total dwellings: 4,363 2028 Total dwellings: 4,333 2027 Total dwellings: 4,303 2026 Total dwellings: 4,273 2025 Total dwellings: 4,243 2024 Total dwellings: 4,148 2023 Total dwellings: 4,033 2022 Total dwellings: 3,918 2021 Total dwellings: 3,801 2020 Total dwellings: 3,685 2019 Total dwellings: 3,622 2018 Total dwellings: 3,602 2017 Total dwellings: 3,578 2041 Forecast development: 98 2040 Forecast development: 98 2039 Forecast development: 97 2038 Forecast development: 97 2037 Forecast development: 86 2036 Forecast development: 81 2035 Forecast development: 81 2034 Forecast development: 81 2033 Forecast development: 81 2032 Forecast development: 81 2031 Forecast development: 81 2030 Forecast development: 56 2029 Forecast development: 30 2028 Forecast development: 30 2027 Forecast development: 30 2026 Forecast development: 30 2025 Forecast development: 95 2024 Forecast development: 115 2023 Forecast development: 115 2022 Forecast development: 117 2021 Forecast development: 116 2020 Forecast development: 63 2019 Forecast development: 20 2018 Forecast development: 24 2017 Forecast development: 78
    Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
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