City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

South West Precinct

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in South West Precinct will increase by an average of 123 dwellings per annum to 9,176 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in City of Maribyrnong. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Highbury Townhouses - 49 dwellings (2018)
  • Eternity Apartments - 61 dwellings (2019)
  • 195-197 Geelong Road - 33 dwellings (2020)
  • 21-23 Clarendon Parade - 12 dwellings (2020)
  • 282 - 288 Geelong Road - 20 dwellings (2020)
  • 1 Ormond Road - 20 dwellings (2020)
  • 207-209 Somerville Road - 21 dwellings (2021)
  • 221 Geelong Road - 13 dwellings (2021)
  • 14 Beaumont Parade - 10 dwellings (2021)
  • 222-224 Francis Street - 18 dwellings (2022)
  • 19-23 Edgar Street - 10 dwellings (2022)
  • Yarraville Gardens - 1,500 dwellings (2022-2038)
  • Small sites - 18 dwellings
  • High level of infill (34-38 dwellings per annum)
  • Low-high level of activity centre (0-35 dwellings per annum)
  • Forecast residential development
    Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 9,176 2040 Total dwellings: 9,103 2039 Total dwellings: 9,039 2038 Total dwellings: 8,975 2037 Total dwellings: 8,886 2036 Total dwellings: 8,772 2035 Total dwellings: 8,663 2034 Total dwellings: 8,554 2033 Total dwellings: 8,420 2032 Total dwellings: 8,286 2031 Total dwellings: 8,154 2030 Total dwellings: 8,000 2029 Total dwellings: 7,847 2028 Total dwellings: 7,669 2027 Total dwellings: 7,493 2026 Total dwellings: 7,268 2025 Total dwellings: 7,071 2024 Total dwellings: 6,924 2023 Total dwellings: 6,777 2022 Total dwellings: 6,621 2021 Total dwellings: 6,529 2020 Total dwellings: 6,448 2019 Total dwellings: 6,317 2018 Total dwellings: 6,222 2017 Total dwellings: 6,142 2041 Total dwellings: 9,176 2040 Total dwellings: 9,103 2039 Total dwellings: 9,039 2038 Total dwellings: 8,975 2037 Total dwellings: 8,886 2036 Total dwellings: 8,772 2035 Total dwellings: 8,663 2034 Total dwellings: 8,554 2033 Total dwellings: 8,420 2032 Total dwellings: 8,286 2031 Total dwellings: 8,154 2030 Total dwellings: 8,000 2029 Total dwellings: 7,847 2028 Total dwellings: 7,669 2027 Total dwellings: 7,493 2026 Total dwellings: 7,268 2025 Total dwellings: 7,071 2024 Total dwellings: 6,924 2023 Total dwellings: 6,777 2022 Total dwellings: 6,621 2021 Total dwellings: 6,529 2020 Total dwellings: 6,448 2019 Total dwellings: 6,317 2018 Total dwellings: 6,222 2017 Total dwellings: 6,142 2041 Forecast development: 73 2040 Forecast development: 64 2039 Forecast development: 64 2038 Forecast development: 89 2037 Forecast development: 114 2036 Forecast development: 109 2035 Forecast development: 109 2034 Forecast development: 134 2033 Forecast development: 134 2032 Forecast development: 132 2031 Forecast development: 154 2030 Forecast development: 153 2029 Forecast development: 178 2028 Forecast development: 176 2027 Forecast development: 225 2026 Forecast development: 197 2025 Forecast development: 147 2024 Forecast development: 147 2023 Forecast development: 156 2022 Forecast development: 92 2021 Forecast development: 81 2020 Forecast development: 131 2019 Forecast development: 95 2018 Forecast development: 80 2017 Forecast development: 30
    Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
    v19.05.15-1.0.0