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Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast

Kempsey Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Kempsey Shire will increase by an average of 139 dwellings per annum to 16,354 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Kempsey Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2021 to 2036
Kempsey ShireChange in dwellings between 2021 and 2036
Areanumber%
Kempsey Shire+2,091+14.7
Aldavilla - Euroka - Yarravel+163+16.8
Crescent Head - Kundabung+158+14.3
East Kempsey+66+6.5
Frederickton and District+121+13.0
Rural West – Bellbrook+59+5.0
Smithtown - Gladstone and District+15+1.2
South Kempsey+90+8.1
South West Rocks - Jerseyville+1,178+34.8
Stuarts Point and District+53+5.8
West Kempsey - Greenhill+188+7.8
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

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