Mornington Peninsula ShirePopulation forecast
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Mornington Peninsula Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Mornington Peninsula Shire is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Mornington Peninsula Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Retirement migration to many parts of the City, especially areas in the southern Port Phillip coastal strip
  • A significant loss of young adults (school-leavers and people in their early twenties) to inner suburbs of Melbourne
  • New couple and young family housing opportunities in Mornington, Mount Martha, Hastings, Rosebud, and Rosebud West
  • Loss of older people aged 75+ years, moving to access services and/or family support, alternatively moving into aged care facilities
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -308 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -483 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -490 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -63 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 540 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 855 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 620 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 906 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,605 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,197 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -112 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,389 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -1,270 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 14 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 743 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 875 0 2016 to 2021: -160 0 2016 to 2021: -300 0 2016 to 2021: -311 0 2016 to 2021: -2 0 2016 to 2021: 685 0 2016 to 2021: 970 0 2016 to 2021: 757 0 2016 to 2021: 208 0 2016 to 2021: 21 0 2016 to 2021: 1,094 0 2016 to 2021: 1,950 0 2016 to 2021: 1,465 0 2016 to 2021: 12 0 2016 to 2021: -1,142 0 2016 to 2021: -1,023 0 2016 to 2021: 126 0 2016 to 2021: 896 0 2016 to 2021: 1,066 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -73 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -221 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -152 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 149 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 707 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 1,088 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 843 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 294 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 155 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 825 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,889 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,620 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 223 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -1,217 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -961 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 222 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 905 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 1,164 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -308 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -483 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -490 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -63 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 540 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 855 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 620 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 906 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,605 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,197 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -112 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,389 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -1,270 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 14 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 743 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 875 0 2016 to 2021: -160 0 2016 to 2021: -300 0 2016 to 2021: -311 0 2016 to 2021: -2 0 2016 to 2021: 685 0 2016 to 2021: 970 0 2016 to 2021: 757 0 2016 to 2021: 208 0 2016 to 2021: 21 0 2016 to 2021: 1,094 0 2016 to 2021: 1,950 0 2016 to 2021: 1,465 0 2016 to 2021: 12 0 2016 to 2021: -1,142 0 2016 to 2021: -1,023 0 2016 to 2021: 126 0 2016 to 2021: 896 0 2016 to 2021: 1,066 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -73 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -221 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -152 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 149 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 707 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 1,088 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 843 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 294 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 155 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 825 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,889 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,620 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 223 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -1,217 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -961 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 222 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 905 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 1,164
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2015.
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