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Manningham City CouncilPopulation forecast

Manningham City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Manningham City Council indicate a 16.0% increase in population under working age, a 1.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Manningham City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Manningham City Council - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,7744.67,5935.57,8615.3+2,087
5 to 97,3955.97,9485.78,9466.0+1,550
10 to 147,5106.08,4446.19,3036.3+1,793
15 to 197,4265.98,3496.09,0386.1+1,612
20 to 247,5006.08,1515.98,6565.8+1,156
25 to 296,4985.28,0425.88,1035.5+1,605
30 to 347,2975.88,5776.28,7285.9+1,431
35 to 398,2156.59,6377.09,9246.7+1,709
40 to 448,0416.49,6236.910,3247.0+2,283
45 to 498,1366.59,0206.510,2926.9+2,156
50 to 548,6336.98,6746.39,8566.6+1,223
55 to 598,2916.68,6616.39,0026.1+711
60 to 647,6546.18,0505.88,2235.5+569
65 to 696,5965.27,3025.37,7505.2+1,154
70 to 746,3445.06,2144.57,0694.8+724
75 to 795,4574.35,6244.16,1314.1+674
80 to 844,5343.64,3983.24,6993.2+165
85 and over4,5263.64,1923.04,4143.0-113
Total persons125,828100.0138,501100.0148,318100.0+22,490
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Manningham City Council was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 1,819 and account for 5.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 9,637 persons.

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