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Manningham City CouncilPopulation forecast

Doncaster Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Doncaster Hill indicate a 92.6% increase in population under working age, a 29.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 48.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Manningham City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Doncaster Hill - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42154.95338.07217.2+506
5 to 91814.12894.35765.7+395
10 to 141683.82644.05115.1+343
15 to 191683.82934.44604.6+292
20 to 243197.24917.46736.7+354
25 to 2951611.773011.09349.3+418
30 to 3453112.071310.79249.2+394
35 to 394269.76349.58488.4+422
40 to 443437.85307.97747.7+431
45 to 492405.44236.46846.8+444
50 to 542235.03224.85895.9+366
55 to 592395.43104.65225.2+283
60 to 641974.52974.44404.4+242
65 to 691733.92443.73923.9+219
70 to 741523.42103.23593.6+208
75 to 791212.71622.42822.8+161
80 to 841142.61181.82062.0+92
85 and over872.01051.61571.6+70
Total persons4,411100.06,668100.010,051100.0+5,640
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Doncaster Hill was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 12.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 318 and account for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 730 persons.

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