City of ManninghamPopulation forecast
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City of Manningham

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Manningham is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Manningham depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Significant housing opportunities across the City, with regeneration of areas a major factor
  • New housing opportunities in Doncaster Hill
  • Gain of young, established and mature families expected in many of the more residential areas
  • The loss of young adults in their twenties leaving home is expected in many areas, as some will leave the municipality to find new housing opportunities
  • Loss of empty-nesters and retirees to outer suburbs and coastal and rural retirement areas
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -393 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -190 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -158 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -140 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -204 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -218 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -171 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 104 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 539 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 969 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,017 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 459 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -171 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 512 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,163 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 954 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 609 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 525 0 2016 to 2021: -210 0 2016 to 2021: -76 0 2016 to 2021: -84 0 2016 to 2021: -92 0 2016 to 2021: -61 0 2016 to 2021: -79 0 2016 to 2021: -69 0 2016 to 2021: 229 0 2016 to 2021: 663 0 2016 to 2021: 1,228 0 2016 to 2021: 1,379 0 2016 to 2021: 890 0 2016 to 2021: 207 0 2016 to 2021: 955 0 2016 to 2021: 1,398 0 2016 to 2021: 1,057 0 2016 to 2021: 733 0 2016 to 2021: 654 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -228 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -140 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -166 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -223 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -286 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -316 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -340 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -128 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 254 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 792 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,010 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 423 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -677 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -127 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 763 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 714 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 500 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 489 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -393 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -190 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -158 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -140 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -204 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -218 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -171 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 104 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 539 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 969 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,017 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 459 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -171 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 512 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,163 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 954 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 609 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 525 0 2016 to 2021: -210 0 2016 to 2021: -76 0 2016 to 2021: -84 0 2016 to 2021: -92 0 2016 to 2021: -61 0 2016 to 2021: -79 0 2016 to 2021: -69 0 2016 to 2021: 229 0 2016 to 2021: 663 0 2016 to 2021: 1,228 0 2016 to 2021: 1,379 0 2016 to 2021: 890 0 2016 to 2021: 207 0 2016 to 2021: 955 0 2016 to 2021: 1,398 0 2016 to 2021: 1,057 0 2016 to 2021: 733 0 2016 to 2021: 654 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -228 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -140 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -166 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -223 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -286 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -316 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -340 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -128 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 254 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 792 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,010 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 423 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -677 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -127 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 763 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 714 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 500 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 489
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2016.
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