City of ManninghamPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

City of Manningham

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in the City of Manningham is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Manningham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Manningham - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)6,1725.07,2445.27,6955.2+1,523
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)9,7117.910,1207.210,9537.3+1,242
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)8,7827.19,5886.910,0636.7+1,280
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)11,3279.212,7179.113,1288.8+1,801
Young workforce (25 to 34)14,51911.817,42112.518,27412.2+3,755
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)23,69619.327,16419.529,28719.6+5,591
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)16,62413.517,97112.919,07212.8+2,448
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)13,70211.115,62811.216,61111.1+2,910
Seniors (70 to 84)14,72712.017,23412.319,06612.8+4,340
Elderly aged (85 and over)3,6513.04,5343.25,1243.4+1,474
Total persons122,911100.0139,623100.0149,274100.0+26,363

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,124 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 19,066 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 16,611 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 19,072 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 29,287 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 18,274 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 13,128 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 10,063 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 10,953 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 7,695 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 4,534 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 17,234 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 15,628 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 17,971 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 27,164 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 17,421 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 12,717 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 9,588 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 10,120 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 7,244 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,651 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 14,727 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 13,702 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 16,624 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 23,696 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 14,519 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 11,327 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 8,782 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 9,711 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 6,172
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 590 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,832 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 983 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,101 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,122 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 853 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 411 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 474 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 833 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 451 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 883 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 2,507 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,927 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,347 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 3,469 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 2,902 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,390 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 806 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 409 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,072
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In the City of Manningham between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 2,287 (9.3%), and will comprise 19.3% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 5,316 (16.6%) and comprise 26.8% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 27,164 persons.

v17.12.12-1.0.0