Wagga Wagga City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Estella - University

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Estella - University indicate a 146.9% increase in population under working age, a 42.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 87.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wagga Wagga City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Estella - University - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41916.33956.85106.3+319
5 to 91645.54287.45456.8+381
10 to 141525.04297.45757.1+423
15 to 192939.759910.47839.7+490
20 to 2458919.670712.389011.1+301
25 to 292729.03285.74765.9+204
30 to 341896.33896.84906.1+301
35 to 391334.44397.65366.7+403
40 to 441826.04097.15667.0+384
45 to 491324.43235.65426.7+410
50 to 541294.33095.44836.0+354
55 to 591063.52464.33944.9+288
60 to 64842.81983.43374.2+253
65 to 69682.31552.72683.3+199
70 to 74632.11152.02072.6+144
75 to 79852.8951.61602.0+75
80 to 84752.5781.41201.5+44
85 and over1033.41202.11672.1+64
Total persons3,011100.05,761100.08,049100.0+5,038

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 207 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 268 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 337 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 394 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 483 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 542 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 566 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 536 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 490 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 476 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 890 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 783 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 575 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 545 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 510 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 95 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 155 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 246 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 309 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 323 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 409 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 439 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 389 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 328 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 707 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 599 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 429 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 428 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 395 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 103 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 63 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 68 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 84 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 106 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 129 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 132 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 182 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 133 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 189 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 272 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 589 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 293 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 152 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 164 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 191
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 92 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 113 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 139 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 149 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 174 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 220 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 156 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 97 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 148 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 184 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 146 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 117 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 115 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 180 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 190 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 306 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 200 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 306 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 277 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 264 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 204
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Estella - University was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 19.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 306 and account for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 707 persons.

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