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Wagga Wagga City CouncilPopulation forecast

Estella - University

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Estella - University indicate a 146.9% increase in population under working age, a 42.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 87.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Estella - University is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Estella - University - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41916.33956.85106.3+319
5 to 91645.54287.45456.8+381
10 to 141525.04297.45757.1+423
15 to 192939.759910.47839.7+490
20 to 2458919.670712.389011.1+301
25 to 292729.03285.74765.9+204
30 to 341896.33896.84906.1+301
35 to 391334.44397.65366.7+403
40 to 441826.04097.15667.0+384
45 to 491324.43235.65426.7+410
50 to 541294.33095.44836.0+354
55 to 591063.52464.33944.9+288
60 to 64842.81983.43374.2+253
65 to 69682.31552.72683.3+199
70 to 74632.11152.02072.6+144
75 to 79852.8951.61602.0+75
80 to 84752.5781.41201.5+44
85 and over1033.41202.11672.1+64
Total persons3,011100.05,761100.08,049100.0+5,038
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Estella - University was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 19.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 306 and account for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 707 persons.

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