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Wagga Wagga City CouncilPopulation forecast

Springvale - Lloyd

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Springvale - Lloyd indicate a 80.7% increase in population under working age, a 171.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 37.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Springvale - Lloyd is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Springvale - Lloyd - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41794.85339.36848.8+505
5 to 92757.44858.46388.3+364
10 to 143329.04027.06117.9+278
15 to 1945512.34668.16268.1+171
20 to 243369.14517.95246.8+187
25 to 292396.53405.93895.0+150
30 to 341895.13546.24485.8+259
35 to 392256.13916.85096.6+284
40 to 442787.53956.95537.2+276
45 to 493208.63626.35236.8+203
50 to 542446.63405.94616.0+218
55 to 592185.93315.84005.2+182
60 to 641824.92594.53564.6+174
65 to 69972.62304.03344.3+237
70 to 74631.71903.32673.5+204
75 to 79391.11111.92082.7+169
80 to 84210.6591.01281.7+107
85 and over130.4430.8761.0+63
Total persons3,705100.05,743100.07,736100.0+4,030
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Springvale - Lloyd was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 12.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 353 and account for 9.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 533 persons.

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