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Upper Lachlan ShirePopulation forecast

Upper Lachlan Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Upper Lachlan Shire indicate a 4.7% decrease in population under working age, a 29.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Upper Lachlan Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Upper Lachlan Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45076.54345.44275.4-81
5 to 94545.84665.84615.8+7
10 to 144896.24826.04495.7-41
15 to 194205.43924.93864.9-34
20 to 242953.82963.72873.6-9
25 to 293134.02763.52713.4-43
30 to 343354.33304.13314.2-4
35 to 393284.23804.83734.7+45
40 to 444325.54195.24155.2-18
45 to 495116.54305.44425.6-68
50 to 546878.84956.24836.1-204
55 to 596328.15607.05086.4-124
60 to 645987.66588.25346.8-64
65 to 695837.46007.55527.0-32
70 to 744645.95627.06057.6+141
75 to 793294.25256.65476.9+218
80 to 842553.33794.74545.7+198
85 and over2032.63053.83884.9+185
Total persons7,837100.07,990100.07,912100.0+75
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Upper Lachlan Shire was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 196 and account for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 658 persons.

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