The Hills Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Box Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Box Hill indicate a 949.0% increase in population under working age, a 112.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 479.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of The Hills Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Box Hill - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 434.658011.02,58511.0+2,542
5 to 9 475.04969.42,3069.8+2,259
10 to 14 535.74248.02,0688.8+2,015
15 to 19 464.92434.61,3555.7+1,309
20 to 24 758.02484.79404.0+865
25 to 29 515.53767.11,3155.6+1,264
30 to 34 394.14919.31,9638.3+1,924
35 to 39 515.55099.62,2419.5+2,190
40 to 44 545.84749.02,0618.7+2,007
45 to 49 535.73646.91,7007.2+1,647
50 to 54 485.12424.61,2845.4+1,236
55 to 59 697.41953.71,0064.3+937
60 to 64 828.71482.88003.4+718
65 to 69 939.91052.05442.3+451
70 to 74 525.51422.74782.0+427
75 to 79 475.01031.93691.6+322
80 to 84 131.3661.22741.2+262
85 and over242.6711.42771.2+253
Total persons939100.05,278100.023,567100.0+22,628

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 274 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 369 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 478 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 544 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 800 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,006 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,284 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,700 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,061 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,241 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,963 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,315 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 940 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,355 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,068 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,306 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,585 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 142 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 148 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 195 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 242 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 364 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 474 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 509 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 491 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 376 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 248 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 243 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 424 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 496 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 580 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 13 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 52 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 93 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 82 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 69 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 48 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 53 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 54 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 51 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 39 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 51 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 75 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 46 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 53 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 47 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 43
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 206 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 209 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 266 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 336 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 438 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 652 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 812 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,042 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,336 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,587 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,733 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,471 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 939 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 692 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,112 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,644 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,809 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 2,005 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 311 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 420 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 457 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 453 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 325 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 197 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 371 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 449 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 537
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Box Hill was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 9.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 537 and account for 11.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 580 persons.

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