The Hills Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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The Hills Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for The Hills Shire indicate a 21.9% increase in population under working age, a 44.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 22.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of The Hills Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
The Hills Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 10,5386.512,9596.416,6656.6+6,128
5 to 9 12,6437.814,5607.218,2797.3+5,637
10 to 14 11,9777.415,3477.618,9157.5+6,937
15 to 19 11,5967.114,9867.417,7217.1+6,125
20 to 24 10,4596.412,3966.115,1656.0+4,706
25 to 29 8,4755.210,7255.313,4685.4+4,993
30 to 34 9,5095.911,9775.914,9356.0+5,426
35 to 39 11,5537.114,1307.017,6077.0+6,054
40 to 44 12,7947.915,1767.518,4997.4+5,705
45 to 49 12,0117.414,8067.317,7297.1+5,718
50 to 54 10,9316.713,6736.716,2096.5+5,279
55 to 59 9,9466.111,6085.714,3625.7+4,416
60 to 64 8,8525.410,0434.912,6625.0+3,811
65 to 69 8,0144.98,8684.410,6184.2+2,604
70 to 74 5,6543.57,7343.89,2313.7+3,576
75 to 79 3,4962.26,4893.27,7833.1+4,288
80 to 84 2,1451.34,0132.05,6902.3+3,545
85 and over1,9321.23,5611.85,4322.2+3,499
Total persons162,525100.0203,051100.0250,971100.0+88,447

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,432 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 5,690 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 7,783 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 9,231 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 10,618 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 12,662 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 14,362 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 16,209 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 17,729 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 18,499 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 17,607 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 14,935 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 13,468 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 15,165 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 17,721 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 18,915 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 18,279 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 16,665 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,561 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,013 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,489 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,734 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 8,868 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 10,043 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 11,608 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 13,673 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 14,806 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 15,176 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 14,130 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 11,977 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 10,725 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 12,396 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 14,986 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 15,347 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 14,560 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 12,959 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,932 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,496 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 5,654 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,014 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 8,852 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 9,946 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 10,931 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 12,011 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 12,794 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 11,553 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 9,509 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 8,475 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 10,459 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 11,596 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 11,977 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 12,643 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 10,538
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,871 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,677 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,294 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,496 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,750 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 2,619 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 2,754 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 2,537 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,923 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 3,323 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 3,478 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 2,958 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 2,743 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2,770 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 2,735 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 3,568 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 3,719 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 3,706 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,628 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,868 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 2,993 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 2,080 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 854 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,192 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,662 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 2,742 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 2,795 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 2,382 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 2,577 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 2,468 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 2,250 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,936 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 3,390 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 3,369 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,917 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 2,422
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in The Hills Shire was ages 40 to 44 , which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19 , which is expected to increase by 3,390 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 15,347 persons.

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