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Chinatown - CBD South

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Chinatown - CBD South is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 7,270 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Chinatown - CBD SouthForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,3611,6661,8071,9172,014
Deaths--255315355388416
Natural increase/decrease--1,1061,3511,4531,5291,598
Net migration--5,1082,0871,273585350
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--1,057864000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 396 2040 forecast population change: 393 2039 forecast population change: 391 2038 forecast population change: 386 2037 forecast population change: 380 2036 forecast population change: 434 2035 forecast population change: 429 2034 forecast population change: 420 2033 forecast population change: 417 2032 forecast population change: 414 2031 forecast population change: 460 2030 forecast population change: 453 2029 forecast population change: 562 2028 forecast population change: 545 2027 forecast population change: 705 2026 forecast population change: 414 2025 forecast population change: 396 2024 forecast population change: 529 2023 forecast population change: 1,041 2022 forecast population change: 1,921 2021 forecast population change: 1,122 2020 forecast population change: 1,798 2019 forecast population change: 1,243 2018 forecast population change: 1,076 2017 forecast population change: 2,032
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 325 2040 Natural increase: 322 2039 Natural increase: 319 2038 Natural increase: 317 2037 Natural increase: 314 2036 Natural increase: 311 2035 Natural increase: 309 2034 Natural increase: 306 2033 Natural increase: 303 2032 Natural increase: 301 2031 Natural increase: 298 2030 Natural increase: 295 2029 Natural increase: 290 2028 Natural increase: 287 2027 Natural increase: 282 2026 Natural increase: 280 2025 Natural increase: 277 2024 Natural increase: 273 2023 Natural increase: 266 2022 Natural increase: 255 2021 Natural increase: 244 2020 Natural increase: 229 2019 Natural increase: 218 2018 Natural increase: 213 2017 Natural increase: 201 2041 Total deaths: 85 2040 Total deaths: 84 2039 Total deaths: 84 2038 Total deaths: 82 2037 Total deaths: 81 2036 Total deaths: 80 2035 Total deaths: 79 2034 Total deaths: 77 2033 Total deaths: 77 2032 Total deaths: 75 2031 Total deaths: 73 2030 Total deaths: 72 2029 Total deaths: 71 2028 Total deaths: 70 2027 Total deaths: 68 2026 Total deaths: 66 2025 Total deaths: 65 2024 Total deaths: 64 2023 Total deaths: 61 2022 Total deaths: 58 2021 Total deaths: 57 2020 Total deaths: 53 2019 Total deaths: 51 2018 Total deaths: 48 2017 Total deaths: 46 2041 Total births: 410 2040 Total births: 406 2039 Total births: 403 2038 Total births: 399 2037 Total births: 395 2036 Total births: 391 2035 Total births: 387 2034 Total births: 383 2033 Total births: 380 2032 Total births: 376 2031 Total births: 371 2030 Total births: 367 2029 Total births: 362 2028 Total births: 357 2027 Total births: 350 2026 Total births: 346 2025 Total births: 342 2024 Total births: 337 2023 Total births: 327 2022 Total births: 314 2021 Total births: 301 2020 Total births: 282 2019 Total births: 269 2018 Total births: 262 2017 Total births: 247 2041 Natural increase: 325 2040 Natural increase: 322 2039 Natural increase: 319 2038 Natural increase: 317 2037 Natural increase: 314 2036 Natural increase: 311 2035 Natural increase: 309 2034 Natural increase: 306 2033 Natural increase: 303 2032 Natural increase: 301 2031 Natural increase: 298 2030 Natural increase: 295 2029 Natural increase: 290 2028 Natural increase: 287 2027 Natural increase: 282 2026 Natural increase: 280 2025 Natural increase: 277 2024 Natural increase: 273 2023 Natural increase: 266 2022 Natural increase: 255 2021 Natural increase: 244 2020 Natural increase: 229 2019 Natural increase: 218 2018 Natural increase: 213 2017 Natural increase: 201 2041 Total deaths: 85 2040 Total deaths: 84 2039 Total deaths: 84 2038 Total deaths: 82 2037 Total deaths: 81 2036 Total deaths: 80 2035 Total deaths: 79 2034 Total deaths: 77 2033 Total deaths: 77 2032 Total deaths: 75 2031 Total deaths: 73 2030 Total deaths: 72 2029 Total deaths: 71 2028 Total deaths: 70 2027 Total deaths: 68 2026 Total deaths: 66 2025 Total deaths: 65 2024 Total deaths: 64 2023 Total deaths: 61 2022 Total deaths: 58 2021 Total deaths: 57 2020 Total deaths: 53 2019 Total deaths: 51 2018 Total deaths: 48 2017 Total deaths: 46 2041 Total births: 410 2040 Total births: 406 2039 Total births: 403 2038 Total births: 399 2037 Total births: 395 2036 Total births: 391 2035 Total births: 387 2034 Total births: 383 2033 Total births: 380 2032 Total births: 376 2031 Total births: 371 2030 Total births: 367 2029 Total births: 362 2028 Total births: 357 2027 Total births: 350 2026 Total births: 346 2025 Total births: 342 2024 Total births: 337 2023 Total births: 327 2022 Total births: 314 2021 Total births: 301 2020 Total births: 282 2019 Total births: 269 2018 Total births: 262 2017 Total births: 247
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 71 2040 Total net migration: 71 2039 Total net migration: 72 2038 Total net migration: 69 2037 Total net migration: 66 2036 Total net migration: 123 2035 Total net migration: 120 2034 Total net migration: 114 2033 Total net migration: 114 2032 Total net migration: 114 2031 Total net migration: 162 2030 Total net migration: 158 2029 Total net migration: 272 2028 Total net migration: 258 2027 Total net migration: 423 2026 Total net migration: 134 2025 Total net migration: 119 2024 Total net migration: 257 2023 Total net migration: 613 2022 Total net migration: 964 2021 Total net migration: 878 2020 Total net migration: 1,569 2019 Total net migration: 1,025 2018 Total net migration: 441 2017 Total net migration: 1,196 2041 Total out migration: 9,905 2040 Total out migration: 9,801 2039 Total out migration: 9,700 2038 Total out migration: 9,600 2037 Total out migration: 9,503 2036 Total out migration: 9,392 2035 Total out migration: 9,280 2034 Total out migration: 9,173 2033 Total out migration: 9,069 2032 Total out migration: 8,968 2031 Total out migration: 8,853 2030 Total out migration: 8,740 2029 Total out migration: 8,596 2028 Total out migration: 8,458 2027 Total out migration: 8,273 2026 Total out migration: 8,183 2025 Total out migration: 8,098 2024 Total out migration: 7,973 2023 Total out migration: 7,739 2022 Total out migration: 7,402 2021 Total out migration: 7,093 2020 Total out migration: 6,580 2019 Total out migration: 6,239 2018 Total out migration: 6,086 2017 Total out migration: 5,697 2041 Total in migration: 9,976 2040 Total in migration: 9,873 2039 Total in migration: 9,772 2038 Total in migration: 9,669 2037 Total in migration: 9,569 2036 Total in migration: 9,514 2035 Total in migration: 9,400 2034 Total in migration: 9,287 2033 Total in migration: 9,184 2032 Total in migration: 9,081 2031 Total in migration: 9,015 2030 Total in migration: 8,898 2029 Total in migration: 8,867 2028 Total in migration: 8,716 2027 Total in migration: 8,696 2026 Total in migration: 8,317 2025 Total in migration: 8,216 2024 Total in migration: 8,230 2023 Total in migration: 8,352 2022 Total in migration: 8,366 2021 Total in migration: 7,971 2020 Total in migration: 8,148 2019 Total in migration: 7,264 2018 Total in migration: 6,527 2017 Total in migration: 6,893 2041 Total net migration: 71 2040 Total net migration: 71 2039 Total net migration: 72 2038 Total net migration: 69 2037 Total net migration: 66 2036 Total net migration: 123 2035 Total net migration: 120 2034 Total net migration: 114 2033 Total net migration: 114 2032 Total net migration: 114 2031 Total net migration: 162 2030 Total net migration: 158 2029 Total net migration: 272 2028 Total net migration: 258 2027 Total net migration: 423 2026 Total net migration: 134 2025 Total net migration: 119 2024 Total net migration: 257 2023 Total net migration: 613 2022 Total net migration: 964 2021 Total net migration: 878 2020 Total net migration: 1,569 2019 Total net migration: 1,025 2018 Total net migration: 441 2017 Total net migration: 1,196 2041 Total out migration: 9,905 2040 Total out migration: 9,801 2039 Total out migration: 9,700 2038 Total out migration: 9,600 2037 Total out migration: 9,503 2036 Total out migration: 9,392 2035 Total out migration: 9,280 2034 Total out migration: 9,173 2033 Total out migration: 9,069 2032 Total out migration: 8,968 2031 Total out migration: 8,853 2030 Total out migration: 8,740 2029 Total out migration: 8,596 2028 Total out migration: 8,458 2027 Total out migration: 8,273 2026 Total out migration: 8,183 2025 Total out migration: 8,098 2024 Total out migration: 7,973 2023 Total out migration: 7,739 2022 Total out migration: 7,402 2021 Total out migration: 7,093 2020 Total out migration: 6,580 2019 Total out migration: 6,239 2018 Total out migration: 6,086 2017 Total out migration: 5,697 2041 Total in migration: 9,976 2040 Total in migration: 9,873 2039 Total in migration: 9,772 2038 Total in migration: 9,669 2037 Total in migration: 9,569 2036 Total in migration: 9,514 2035 Total in migration: 9,400 2034 Total in migration: 9,287 2033 Total in migration: 9,184 2032 Total in migration: 9,081 2031 Total in migration: 9,015 2030 Total in migration: 8,898 2029 Total in migration: 8,867 2028 Total in migration: 8,716 2027 Total in migration: 8,696 2026 Total in migration: 8,317 2025 Total in migration: 8,216 2024 Total in migration: 8,230 2023 Total in migration: 8,352 2022 Total in migration: 8,366 2021 Total in migration: 7,971 2020 Total in migration: 8,148 2019 Total in migration: 7,264 2018 Total in migration: 6,527 2017 Total in migration: 6,893
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
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