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City of Sydney

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Sydney is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Sydney depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2016-2031 period
  • Gain of tertiary students and young adults in their late teens and early twenties
  • Loss of young and mature families (30-39 years and 0-9 years) seeking housing opportunities elsewhere
  • No significant gain or loss from migration in adult age groups 45+
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 86 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -217 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -307 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -306 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -437 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -285 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -346 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 103 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -1,498 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -4,130 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -10,416 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -9,510 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 5,102 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 24,564 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 17,401 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 1,076 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -2,769 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -7,061 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 208 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -70 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -235 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -250 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -197 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -70 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 55 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 413 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -724 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -3,150 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -8,903 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -7,789 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 6,344 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 24,247 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 16,810 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,376 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -2,139 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -6,199 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 175 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -69 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -257 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 83 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 224 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 229 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 845 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -382 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -1,703 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -6,898 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -5,505 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 7,036 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 25,555 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 17,526 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,293 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -1,565 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -5,055 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 86 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -217 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -307 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -306 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -437 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -285 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -346 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 103 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -1,498 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: -4,130 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: -10,416 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: -9,510 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 5,102 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 24,564 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 17,401 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 1,076 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: -2,769 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: -7,061 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 208 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -70 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -235 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -250 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -197 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -70 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 55 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 413 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -724 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -3,150 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -8,903 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -7,789 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 6,344 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 24,247 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 16,810 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,376 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -2,139 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -6,199 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 175 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -69 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -257 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 83 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 224 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 229 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 845 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -382 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -1,703 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -6,898 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -5,505 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 7,036 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 25,555 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 17,526 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,293 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -1,565 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -5,055
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
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