City of SydneyPopulation forecast
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City of Sydney

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Sydney is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 42,802 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of SydneyForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--13,39315,42916,66017,49918,160
Deaths--4,6155,3256,0206,6547,213
Natural increase/decrease--8,77810,10310,64010,84510,947
Net migration--31,44919,72911,0505,5583,720
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--2,5753,03394558190

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 2,880 2040 forecast population change: 2,888 2039 forecast population change: 2,954 2038 forecast population change: 2,980 2037 forecast population change: 3,055 2036 forecast population change: 3,128 2035 forecast population change: 3,572 2034 forecast population change: 3,318 2033 forecast population change: 3,488 2032 forecast population change: 3,478 2031 forecast population change: 3,687 2030 forecast population change: 4,054 2029 forecast population change: 4,781 2028 forecast population change: 4,705 2027 forecast population change: 5,408 2026 forecast population change: 5,255 2025 forecast population change: 6,057 2024 forecast population change: 6,089 2023 forecast population change: 7,108 2022 forecast population change: 8,356 2021 forecast population change: 7,741 2020 forecast population change: 9,598 2019 forecast population change: 8,716 2018 forecast population change: 7,892 2017 forecast population change: 8,856
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 2,200 2040 Natural increase: 2,195 2039 Natural increase: 2,189 2038 Natural increase: 2,181 2037 Natural increase: 2,181 2036 Natural increase: 2,178 2035 Natural increase: 2,172 2034 Natural increase: 2,169 2033 Natural increase: 2,166 2032 Natural increase: 2,160 2031 Natural increase: 2,153 2030 Natural increase: 2,145 2029 Natural increase: 2,130 2028 Natural increase: 2,116 2027 Natural increase: 2,096 2026 Natural increase: 2,079 2025 Natural increase: 2,058 2024 Natural increase: 2,027 2023 Natural increase: 1,993 2022 Natural increase: 1,945 2021 Natural increase: 1,892 2020 Natural increase: 1,823 2019 Natural increase: 1,749 2018 Natural increase: 1,698 2017 Natural increase: 1,617 2041 Total deaths: 1,481 2040 Total deaths: 1,462 2039 Total deaths: 1,443 2038 Total deaths: 1,425 2037 Total deaths: 1,402 2036 Total deaths: 1,378 2035 Total deaths: 1,356 2034 Total deaths: 1,332 2033 Total deaths: 1,306 2032 Total deaths: 1,282 2031 Total deaths: 1,257 2030 Total deaths: 1,230 2029 Total deaths: 1,205 2028 Total deaths: 1,176 2027 Total deaths: 1,152 2026 Total deaths: 1,121 2025 Total deaths: 1,091 2024 Total deaths: 1,066 2023 Total deaths: 1,039 2022 Total deaths: 1,008 2021 Total deaths: 978 2020 Total deaths: 945 2019 Total deaths: 918 2018 Total deaths: 893 2017 Total deaths: 881 2041 Total births: 3,682 2040 Total births: 3,657 2039 Total births: 3,632 2038 Total births: 3,607 2037 Total births: 3,582 2036 Total births: 3,556 2035 Total births: 3,528 2034 Total births: 3,501 2033 Total births: 3,472 2032 Total births: 3,442 2031 Total births: 3,410 2030 Total births: 3,375 2029 Total births: 3,335 2028 Total births: 3,292 2027 Total births: 3,248 2026 Total births: 3,201 2025 Total births: 3,149 2024 Total births: 3,093 2023 Total births: 3,033 2022 Total births: 2,954 2021 Total births: 2,870 2020 Total births: 2,767 2019 Total births: 2,667 2018 Total births: 2,591 2017 Total births: 2,498 2041 Natural increase: 2,200 2040 Natural increase: 2,195 2039 Natural increase: 2,189 2038 Natural increase: 2,181 2037 Natural increase: 2,181 2036 Natural increase: 2,178 2035 Natural increase: 2,172 2034 Natural increase: 2,169 2033 Natural increase: 2,166 2032 Natural increase: 2,160 2031 Natural increase: 2,153 2030 Natural increase: 2,145 2029 Natural increase: 2,130 2028 Natural increase: 2,116 2027 Natural increase: 2,096 2026 Natural increase: 2,079 2025 Natural increase: 2,058 2024 Natural increase: 2,027 2023 Natural increase: 1,993 2022 Natural increase: 1,945 2021 Natural increase: 1,892 2020 Natural increase: 1,823 2019 Natural increase: 1,749 2018 Natural increase: 1,698 2017 Natural increase: 1,617 2041 Total deaths: 1,481 2040 Total deaths: 1,462 2039 Total deaths: 1,443 2038 Total deaths: 1,425 2037 Total deaths: 1,402 2036 Total deaths: 1,378 2035 Total deaths: 1,356 2034 Total deaths: 1,332 2033 Total deaths: 1,306 2032 Total deaths: 1,282 2031 Total deaths: 1,257 2030 Total deaths: 1,230 2029 Total deaths: 1,205 2028 Total deaths: 1,176 2027 Total deaths: 1,152 2026 Total deaths: 1,121 2025 Total deaths: 1,091 2024 Total deaths: 1,066 2023 Total deaths: 1,039 2022 Total deaths: 1,008 2021 Total deaths: 978 2020 Total deaths: 945 2019 Total deaths: 918 2018 Total deaths: 893 2017 Total deaths: 881 2041 Total births: 3,682 2040 Total births: 3,657 2039 Total births: 3,632 2038 Total births: 3,607 2037 Total births: 3,582 2036 Total births: 3,556 2035 Total births: 3,528 2034 Total births: 3,501 2033 Total births: 3,472 2032 Total births: 3,442 2031 Total births: 3,410 2030 Total births: 3,375 2029 Total births: 3,335 2028 Total births: 3,292 2027 Total births: 3,248 2026 Total births: 3,201 2025 Total births: 3,149 2024 Total births: 3,093 2023 Total births: 3,033 2022 Total births: 2,954 2021 Total births: 2,870 2020 Total births: 2,767 2019 Total births: 2,667 2018 Total births: 2,591 2017 Total births: 2,498
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 680 2040 Total net migration: 693 2039 Total net migration: 765 2038 Total net migration: 798 2037 Total net migration: 784 2036 Total net migration: 950 2035 Total net migration: 1,020 2034 Total net migration: 1,070 2033 Total net migration: 1,202 2032 Total net migration: 1,316 2031 Total net migration: 1,533 2030 Total net migration: 1,800 2029 Total net migration: 2,348 2028 Total net migration: 2,589 2027 Total net migration: 2,779 2026 Total net migration: 3,005 2025 Total net migration: 3,447 2024 Total net migration: 3,644 2023 Total net migration: 4,095 2022 Total net migration: 5,538 2021 Total net migration: 5,667 2020 Total net migration: 7,099 2019 Total net migration: 6,939 2018 Total net migration: 5,140 2017 Total net migration: 6,604 2041 Total out migration: 72,409 2040 Total out migration: 71,836 2039 Total out migration: 71,251 2038 Total out migration: 70,663 2037 Total out migration: 70,086 2036 Total out migration: 69,470 2035 Total out migration: 68,845 2034 Total out migration: 68,216 2033 Total out migration: 67,569 2032 Total out migration: 66,909 2031 Total out migration: 66,204 2030 Total out migration: 65,442 2029 Total out migration: 64,544 2028 Total out migration: 63,592 2027 Total out migration: 62,604 2026 Total out migration: 61,577 2025 Total out migration: 60,448 2024 Total out migration: 59,278 2023 Total out migration: 57,990 2022 Total out migration: 56,311 2021 Total out migration: 54,649 2020 Total out migration: 52,583 2019 Total out migration: 50,571 2018 Total out migration: 49,089 2017 Total out migration: 47,680 2041 Total in migration: 73,089 2040 Total in migration: 72,529 2039 Total in migration: 72,016 2038 Total in migration: 71,461 2037 Total in migration: 70,870 2036 Total in migration: 70,421 2035 Total in migration: 69,865 2034 Total in migration: 69,287 2033 Total in migration: 68,771 2032 Total in migration: 68,225 2031 Total in migration: 67,737 2030 Total in migration: 67,242 2029 Total in migration: 66,892 2028 Total in migration: 66,181 2027 Total in migration: 65,383 2026 Total in migration: 64,582 2025 Total in migration: 63,895 2024 Total in migration: 62,922 2023 Total in migration: 62,085 2022 Total in migration: 61,849 2021 Total in migration: 60,315 2020 Total in migration: 59,682 2019 Total in migration: 57,510 2018 Total in migration: 54,229 2017 Total in migration: 54,284 2041 Total net migration: 680 2040 Total net migration: 693 2039 Total net migration: 765 2038 Total net migration: 798 2037 Total net migration: 784 2036 Total net migration: 950 2035 Total net migration: 1,020 2034 Total net migration: 1,070 2033 Total net migration: 1,202 2032 Total net migration: 1,316 2031 Total net migration: 1,533 2030 Total net migration: 1,800 2029 Total net migration: 2,348 2028 Total net migration: 2,589 2027 Total net migration: 2,779 2026 Total net migration: 3,005 2025 Total net migration: 3,447 2024 Total net migration: 3,644 2023 Total net migration: 4,095 2022 Total net migration: 5,538 2021 Total net migration: 5,667 2020 Total net migration: 7,099 2019 Total net migration: 6,939 2018 Total net migration: 5,140 2017 Total net migration: 6,604 2041 Total out migration: 72,409 2040 Total out migration: 71,836 2039 Total out migration: 71,251 2038 Total out migration: 70,663 2037 Total out migration: 70,086 2036 Total out migration: 69,470 2035 Total out migration: 68,845 2034 Total out migration: 68,216 2033 Total out migration: 67,569 2032 Total out migration: 66,909 2031 Total out migration: 66,204 2030 Total out migration: 65,442 2029 Total out migration: 64,544 2028 Total out migration: 63,592 2027 Total out migration: 62,604 2026 Total out migration: 61,577 2025 Total out migration: 60,448 2024 Total out migration: 59,278 2023 Total out migration: 57,990 2022 Total out migration: 56,311 2021 Total out migration: 54,649 2020 Total out migration: 52,583 2019 Total out migration: 50,571 2018 Total out migration: 49,089 2017 Total out migration: 47,680 2041 Total in migration: 73,089 2040 Total in migration: 72,529 2039 Total in migration: 72,016 2038 Total in migration: 71,461 2037 Total in migration: 70,870 2036 Total in migration: 70,421 2035 Total in migration: 69,865 2034 Total in migration: 69,287 2033 Total in migration: 68,771 2032 Total in migration: 68,225 2031 Total in migration: 67,737 2030 Total in migration: 67,242 2029 Total in migration: 66,892 2028 Total in migration: 66,181 2027 Total in migration: 65,383 2026 Total in migration: 64,582 2025 Total in migration: 63,895 2024 Total in migration: 62,922 2023 Total in migration: 62,085 2022 Total in migration: 61,849 2021 Total in migration: 60,315 2020 Total in migration: 59,682 2019 Total in migration: 57,510 2018 Total in migration: 54,229 2017 Total in migration: 54,284
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2019.
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