City of SwanPopulation forecast
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Ellenbrook Town Centre

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Ellenbrook Town Centre indicate a 1062.7% increase in population under working age, a 28.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 556.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Swan is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ellenbrook Town Centre - Total persons201620262051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4283.93099.54038.1+375
5 to 9121.71685.23226.4+310
10 to 14111.51163.62695.4+258
15 to 19273.71855.73046.1+277
20 to 248511.737211.44218.4+336
25 to 297610.546014.14729.4+396
30 to 34354.839612.24468.9+411
35 to 39223.02908.93917.8+369
40 to 44283.91915.93236.5+295
45 to 49162.21143.52835.7+267
50 to 54182.5762.32394.8+221
55 to 5971.0742.32134.3+206
60 to 64263.6752.31893.8+163
65 to 69486.6742.31663.3+118
70 to 74628.5892.71603.2+98
75 to 79659.0822.51422.8+77
80 to 84669.1742.31202.4+54
85 and over9412.91103.41332.7+39
Total persons726100.03,254100.04,997100.0+4,271

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 133 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 142 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 160 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 166 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 189 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 213 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 239 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 283 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 323 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 391 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 446 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 472 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 421 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 304 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 269 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 322 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 403 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 110 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 75 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 290 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 396 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 460 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 372 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 116 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 168 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 309 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 94 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 66 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 65 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 62 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 48 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 26 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 18 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 16 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 28 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 22 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 35 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 76 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 27 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 11 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 12 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 28
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2051: 23 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2051: 47 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2051: 61 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2051: 71 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2051: 92 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2051: 114 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2051: 139 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2051: 163 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2051: 169 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2051: 133 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2051: 101 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2051: 50 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2051: 12 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2051: 50 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2051: 119 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2051: 153 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2051: 154 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2051: 95 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 49 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 361 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 384 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 287 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 158 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 156 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 281
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Ellenbrook Town Centre was ages 85 and over, which accounted for 12.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 384 and account for 14.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 460 persons.

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