City of SwanPopulation forecast
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City of Swan

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Swan is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Swan depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the growth corridor areas influence outcomes for the City as a whole
  • Greenfield areas such as Ellenbrook, the Urban Growth Corridor and Bullsbrook/North Ellenbrook are assumed to attract family, and future family, households
  • Maturing areas such as Altone and Ballajura are assumed to have stable, even declining populations, as households mature through the suburb lifecycle
  • Midland is assumed to attract smaller households, particularly young adults in the rental market, in medium density developments.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 40 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -162 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -185 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -216 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -191 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -232 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 98 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 475 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 682 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 360 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 496 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,529 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 3,399 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 3,304 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 1,459 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 566 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 1,081 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 1,859 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 88 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -80 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -120 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -133 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -45 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -129 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 201 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 504 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 877 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 686 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 886 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,759 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,333 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,298 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,707 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 798 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,245 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,931 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 96 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -43 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -38 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -127 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -27 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 20 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 191 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 478 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 632 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,000 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,148 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,806 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 3,285 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,093 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,613 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 899 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 1,273 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,837 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: 40 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -162 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -185 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -216 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -191 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -232 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 98 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 475 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 682 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 360 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 496 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 1,529 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 3,399 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 3,304 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 1,459 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 566 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 1,081 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 1,859 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 88 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -80 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -120 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -133 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -45 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -129 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 201 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 504 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 877 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 686 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 886 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,759 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,333 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,298 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,707 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 798 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,245 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,931 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 96 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -43 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -38 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -127 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -27 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 20 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 191 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 478 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 632 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,000 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,148 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,806 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 3,285 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,093 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,613 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 899 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 1,273 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,837
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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