City of SwanPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Swan

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Swan is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Swan depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the growth corridor areas influence outcomes for the City as a whole
  • Greenfield areas such as Ellenbrook and the Urban Growth Corridor are assumed to attract family, and future family, households
  • Maturing areas such as Altone and Ballajura are assumed to have stable, even declining populations, as households mature through the suburb lifecycle
  • Midland is assumed to attract smaller households, particularly young adults in the rental market, in medium density developments.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -118 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -306 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -149 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 167 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 217 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 220 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 621 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 962 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,256 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,580 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,672 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,122 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 710 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 606 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 707 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,308 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 11 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -172 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -20 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 77 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 168 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 430 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 345 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 536 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 978 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,944 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2,104 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,825 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,858 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,791 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,415 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,393 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 1,697 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,859 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -118 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -306 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -181 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -149 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 167 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 217 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 220 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 621 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 962 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,256 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,580 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,672 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,122 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 710 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 606 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 707 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,308 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 11 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -172 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -20 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 77 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 168 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 430 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 345 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 536 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 978 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,944 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2,104 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,825 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,858 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 1,791 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,415 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,393 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 1,697 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,859
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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