City of SwanPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Swan

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Swan indicate a 40.0% increase in population under working age, a 72.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 30.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Swan is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Swan - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 10,6487.814,3557.716,1027.2+5,455
5 to 9 10,0307.314,3527.716,0937.2+6,063
10 to 14 9,3276.813,2997.115,5776.9+6,250
15 to 19 9,2006.712,3596.614,8916.6+5,691
20 to 24 10,0087.311,7246.313,7656.1+3,757
25 to 29 11,1738.212,4096.613,9076.2+2,734
30 to 34 11,2388.213,3887.114,7236.6+3,485
35 to 39 9,7817.114,1147.515,5786.9+5,797
40 to 44 9,8337.214,0847.515,8497.1+6,016
45 to 49 9,6267.012,8196.815,5446.9+5,917
50 to 54 8,8766.511,4536.114,4206.4+5,545
55 to 59 7,6565.610,3995.512,8005.7+5,144
60 to 64 6,0374.49,2454.911,3225.0+5,285
65 to 69 4,9903.67,7624.19,9504.4+4,960
70 to 74 3,4062.55,8923.18,3333.7+4,927
75 to 79 2,3671.74,4282.46,5082.9+4,141
80 to 84 1,5041.12,7771.54,5452.0+3,041
85 and over1,3211.02,5411.44,5302.0+3,209
Total persons137,020100.0187,400100.0224,439100.0+87,418

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 4,530 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,545 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 6,508 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 8,333 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 9,950 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 11,322 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 12,800 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 14,420 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 15,544 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 15,849 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 15,578 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 14,723 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 13,907 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 13,765 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 14,891 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 15,577 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 16,093 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 16,102 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,541 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,777 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,428 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,892 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 7,762 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 9,245 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 10,399 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 11,453 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 12,819 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 14,084 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 14,114 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 13,388 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 12,409 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 11,724 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 12,359 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 13,299 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 14,352 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 14,355 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,321 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,504 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,367 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 3,406 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,990 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 6,037 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7,656 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 8,876 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 9,626 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 9,833 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 9,781 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 11,238 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 11,173 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 10,008 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 9,200 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 9,327 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 10,030 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 10,648
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,989 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,768 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 2,080 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 2,440 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 2,188 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 2,077 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 2,401 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 2,967 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,724 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,765 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,465 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,335 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,497 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2,042 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 2,532 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 2,279 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,741 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,748 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,221 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,273 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 2,061 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 2,486 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 2,772 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 3,207 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 2,743 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 2,578 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 3,193 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 4,251 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 4,333 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 2,150 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,237 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,716 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 3,159 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 3,971 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 4,322 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 3,707
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Swan was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 4,333 and account for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 14,355 persons.

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