City of SwanPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Swan

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Swan indicate a 42.3% increase in population under working age, a 54.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Swan is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Swan - Total persons201620262051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 10,6017.815,0778.023,6687.6+13,067
5 to 9 10,0237.314,4237.623,6337.6+13,610
10 to 14 9,3046.813,1016.922,1717.2+12,867
15 to 19 9,2006.712,3406.520,5606.6+11,361
20 to 24 9,9997.313,3837.120,7246.7+10,726
25 to 29 11,0998.115,3248.122,8537.4+11,754
30 to 34 11,2188.215,7108.323,6967.6+12,478
35 to 39 9,7447.114,3747.622,4367.2+12,692
40 to 44 9,8157.212,9426.820,8516.7+11,036
45 to 49 9,6347.011,6736.219,5126.3+9,878
50 to 54 8,8626.510,9635.817,9975.8+9,135
55 to 59 7,6735.610,2145.416,3165.3+8,643
60 to 64 6,0414.48,7704.614,1494.6+8,108
65 to 69 4,9203.67,1423.812,1133.9+7,193
70 to 74 3,3902.55,3512.810,0663.2+6,676
75 to 79 2,3581.73,9452.18,1502.6+5,793
80 to 84 1,4911.12,4661.36,1422.0+4,652
85 and over1,3091.01,9131.04,7511.5+3,443
Total persons136,679100.0189,112100.0309,788100.0+173,109

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 4,751 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 6,142 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 8,150 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 10,066 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 12,113 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 14,149 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 16,316 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 17,997 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 19,512 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 20,851 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 22,436 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 23,696 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 22,853 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 20,724 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 20,560 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 22,171 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 23,633 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 23,668 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,913 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,466 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,945 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,351 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 7,142 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,770 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 10,214 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 10,963 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 11,673 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 12,942 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 14,374 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 15,710 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 15,324 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 13,383 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 12,340 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 13,101 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 14,423 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 15,077 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,309 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,491 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,358 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 3,390 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,920 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 6,041 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7,673 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 8,862 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 9,634 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 9,815 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 9,744 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 11,218 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 11,099 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 9,999 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 9,200 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 9,304 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 10,023 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 10,601
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2051: 2,838 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2051: 3,677 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2051: 4,206 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2051: 4,715 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2051: 4,971 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2051: 5,378 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2051: 6,103 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2051: 7,034 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2051: 7,839 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2051: 7,908 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2051: 8,061 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2051: 7,986 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2051: 7,528 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2051: 7,341 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2051: 8,220 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2051: 9,070 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2051: 9,209 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2051: 8,591 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 605 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 975 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,587 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,961 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 2,222 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 2,730 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 2,540 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 2,101 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 2,039 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 3,127 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 4,630 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 4,492 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 4,226 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 3,384 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 3,140 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 3,798 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 4,400 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 4,476
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Swan was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 4,630 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 15,710 persons.

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